After setting a daily high temperature record and tying the monthly high temperature record for January today, we have one more warm day for Saturday before a front brings temperatures back down to earth on Sunday. We start Saturday in the low 60s once again before warming to the mid-to-upper 70s in the afternoon. Scattered showers should be a factor ahead of the aforementioned front, but coverage won’t really amount to much until we get into the overnight as the front moves by. Showers will taper off early Sunday morning, and as cooler and drier air moves in behind the cold front, cloud cover will break up. Temperatures will be held to the mid-to-upper 60s as gusty west winds — perhaps with gusts approaching 30 MPH in the early afternoon — blow into the area. More normal temperatures return for next week, with a stretch of quiet weather expected to close January and start February.
More warm and occasionally unsettled weather is on the way for Friday and the weekend. Lows will continue to run where January normal highs should be, and highs will still run well above normal, especially Friday and Saturday. In fact, Friday’s forecast high of 78° gets close to the record high of 80° set in 1950. The warm starts will lend themselves nicely to fog potential in the mornings, and sea fog may be persistent throughout the day as the warmer air overtops the much cooler waters.
Showers remain in the forecast as well as we stay within the warm sector of a stalled out frontal system. Friday could even feature a few thunderstorms, but severe weather is not anticipated. Saturday will once again feature a scattering of showers and maybe a rumble of thunder as well. A stronger front will push into the area on Sunday, pushing through later in the day to clear us out and cool us off. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible ahead of this front as well early in the day, but once the front is through — generally thinking early to mid-afternoon — the shower threat will end, cloud cover will decrease, and dewpoints will begin to fall.
Much more seasonable weather returns to the area starting Monday, with generally quiet conditions through at least Thursday.
We hit 77° at the airport on Wednesday, narrowly missing a record high by two degrees (79°, set in 1950 and tied in 1974) and making this the warmest day so far in this young year. We have a chance to top that on Thursday despite showers working their way into the area as we stay within the broad warm sector of a storm system in the mid-South. We should start the day with some patchy fog as lows fall to the low 60s, right around the normal high for this point in the year. Temperatures will then warm to the upper 70s, and there’s a more-than-decent shot that some spots reach 80°. (The record high for January 25 is 82°, set in 1949.) A few showers will be possible across the area during the day, but coverage should be relatively sparse.