Author: Jared Smith

Jared Smith founded @chswx on Twitter in 2008 as an experiment in disseminating weather data through social media. Somehow, it caught on, and he kept doing it.

Rainy Wednesday ahead

/ January 26, 2021 at 9:18 PM

Get ready for a soggy Wednesday as a cold front and upper disturbances combine to produce quite a bit of rainfall. Atmospheric moisture will be abnormally abundant for this time of year, allowing for most areas to receive over an inch of rain tomorrow. Temperatures will top out in the low 60s as a front sags south of the area.

Rain looks to begin to taper off in the evening hours as a secondary front pushes offshore. This will bring in cooler and drier air overnight, and by sunrise Thursday we should be seeing rapid clearing.

Tuesday: Warm with showers late

/ January 25, 2021 at 9:46 PM

After the warmest day since New Year’s today, we’ll get back into the mid-70s for Tuesday as we remain in the warm sector of a storm system cutting across Tennessee this evening. We’ll be under mostly cloudy skies with a few peeks of sun throughout the day, with shower chances increasing as the evening progresses ahead of what appears to be a very soggy Wednesday across the Tri-County.

The forecast high of 76° at the airport runs well above the normal high of 60° for January 26. The record high is 80°, set in 1949.

The week ahead: Warm and soggy start, cooler and drier finish

/ January 24, 2021 at 10:28 PM

The final week of January 2021 (already!) will start off fairly warm before returning to below-normal temperatures to head into the weekend. Forecasted highs in the 70s on Monday and Tuesday would be the first 70+ temperatures since January 1-2. This abnormal warmth will be swept away with a soggy storm system come Tuesday evening into Wednesday, though, bringing in cooler and drier conditions to close out the week. Then, the progressive pattern ushers in another storm system to possibly bring some rain and warmer temperatures back to the area as early as Sunday.

Partly cloudy skies for today with temperatures returning to the 60s

/ at 9:38 AM

After a Saturday full of brilliant sunshine and somewhat overachieving high temperatures, we’ll be back to the low 60s today with a few more clouds. You might notice it getting a little more humid as the day goes on, with winds switching to a more easterly/southeasterly direction this afternoon.

High-res guidance still wants to spit out a couple showers in the area very late tonight, but if there will be any rain, it would probably sprinkle in more toward Monday — and even then, there’s just a slight chance in the forecast right now. Will have more on this and the week ahead later tonight, but for now, enjoy your Sunday!

Saturday the pick day for the weekend as clouds increase Sunday

/ January 22, 2021 at 9:46 PM

Well folks, we made it — another weekend is here. Temperatures will remain at or a little below normal, particularly on Saturday, as cooler and drier air pushes into the area from the north thanks to high pressure pushing down the Eastern Seaboard into the Carolinas. We’ll start Saturday in the 30s, with wind chills feeling a few degrees cooler, and only head to about 55-56° or so in the afternoon despite full sunshine. (Northeast winds will do that to you.)

Clouds increase during the day on Sunday as high pressure departs and moisture filters back into the area. We could see some showers late in the day into Monday as a warm front lifts north, but right now I expect much of Sunday to remain dry. Temperatures will run a little warmer, around 60° in the afternoon.

Overall, I’d say Saturday is definitely the better of the two days if you have outdoor plans despite the slightly cooler temperatures! Have a good weekend, everyone.

Rainy Friday, but a nice weekend

/ January 21, 2021 at 9:29 PM

We’re in for another gray, rainy day on Friday as low pressure develops and slides south of the area along a stalled front. The best chance of rain will be during the morning hours before tapering off in the afternoon. Temperatures will top out in the upper 50s.

It gets better, though. Expect skies to clear by Saturday morning with a northeast breeze helping keep temperatures in the mid-50s despite all the sunshine. We’ll start Sunday in the mid-30s before temperatures head up to near 60° under increasing cloud cover. If I had to pick, I’d probably choose Saturday for more abundant sunshine, but Sunday won’t be any slouch either with a little warmer temperatures in the afternoon.

Cooler with shower chances on Thursday

/ January 20, 2021 at 10:04 PM

After an afternoon in the mid-to-upper 60s across the Lowcountry, clouds and eventually some showers return to the area tomorrow as a cold front begins to approach from the northwest. The rain chance will begin in the afternoon and increase overnight into Friday as the front sags southward through the region. Keep rain gear handy if you are out and about tomorrow.

A little warmer for the rest of the work week, with showers late Thursday into Friday

/ January 18, 2021 at 9:46 PM

The rest of the work week will be characterized by a bit of a warming trend. Expect high temperatures in the low 60s from Tuesday through the end of the week before a cold front backdoors into the area sometime Friday.

Mostly sunny skies will dominate Tuesday and Wednesday before the next storm system begins to affect the area Thursday with increasing clouds and a slight chance of a shower late. Scattered showers will remain in the forecast on Friday as the front sags southward across the area.

Mostly sunny skies and standard January temperatures for MLK Day

/ January 17, 2021 at 10:55 PM

No weather concerns for Monday as we pause to reflect on the life and message of Martin Luther King, Jr. High temperatures will top out in the mid-50s — a click or two under January normals — despite mostly sunny skies with high pressure firmly in place. This year is certainly going to be very different with virtual events due to the ongoing pandemic, but any virtual events being held outdoors will probably have more trouble with Wi-Fi than weather.

We look to remain rain-free until at least Thursday when low pressure and its associated cold front approach from the west. Ahead of the front, we’ll be in a warming trend, with highs getting into the 60s by Wednesday. I’ll have more on the rest of the work week’s forecast in tomorrow night’s post.

Friday and the weekend: Another round of chilly temperatures incoming

/ January 14, 2021 at 9:02 PM

Clouds and eventually showers will return to the weather picture during the day tomorrow as a cold front approaches the area. Temperatures will get to the low to mid-60s before the front swings through. Winds will also kick up with the frontal passage, so be ready for gusts near 30 MPH through Saturday.

Speaking of Saturday, clouds will be clearing the area, but we will once again turn chilly, with highs only topping out in the low 50s. The aforementioned wind will make it feel even colder, too. Most of us away from the coast will see freezing temperatures Sunday morning (along with mid-20s wind chills). Highs will once again only reach the low 50s in the afternoon despite plentiful sunshine. These temperatures will be the result of a large cold-core upper low that will be swinging through the upper Midwest into the Ohio Valley and eventually New England over the weekend, sending a plunge of rather chilly air all the way south into Florida.