It’s a much, much cooler start to Thursday as a cold front swung through late yesterday. Deep-layer dry air will keep skies clear throughout the day, and the cooler high pressure building in from the west will keep temperatures down in the mid-50s this afternoon. It’s a bit windy in the wake of the front; morning lows in the low 40s feel more like the mid-30s.

We start this Wednesday with temperatures remaining close to normal highs for this time of year. At 7am, it was 63° at many stations across the Tri-County, with Moncks Corner running a little cooler at 60°.

We’ll see showers, some heavy at times particularly away from the immediate coast, give way to some breaks in the rain for a fair bit of the late morning into early afternoon before a cold front begins its final push toward the coast. A wet evening commute appears likely, with perhaps some rumbles of thunder mixed in as well.

Temperatures will rise into the low 70s ahead of the rainfall late this afternoon and early evening. The front should clear the area before midnight, clearing us out and cooling us off for Thursday, when highs will top out in the mid-50s.

Showers in association with an approaching front and some favorable upper-level energy will continue overnight Monday into Tuesday morning. As we all know, any amount of rain can make a commute somewhat interesting, so be ready to spend a little extra time in traffic in the morning.

The other change with Tuesday is that despite cloud cover and lingering showers, we’ll be headed back to around 70° in the afternoon. A warm front will lift north of the area overnight, and we’ll likely start the day in the upper 50s to around 60°. This warmth will be relatively short-lived — by Wednesday afternoon, a cold front will be moving through the area, and we’ll make a return to below normal temperatures for Thursday into the weekend.

Friday looks to be a rather chilly day across the Lowcountry despite decreasing clouds and quite a bit of sunshine. Highs will struggle into the mid-40s as cold high pressure builds into the area in the wake of Thursday’s storm system.

There is a small possibility of a few flurries generally north of I-26 in the early morning hours as one last disturbance swings through the area. This probability is extremely low as cold air will be chasing the moisture out of the area, so please manage your expectations accordingly. Elsewhere, a shower or two cannot be totally ruled out. Precipitation — if any — ends by sunrise.

Minor coastal flooding may become an issue in the morning as gusty northeast winds persist across the area. Tide levels may reach 7-7.2′ in the harbor with the 6:34 AM high tide. It is possible that a coastal flood advisory could be needed. Vulnerable roads in downtown Charleston, particularly those on the western edge of the peninsula near the Citadel, could be affected by these tides. Be ready for brief diversions due to water on the road.

Be ready for a very cold night Friday night into Saturday morning, as many locations will dip into the mid-20s away from the immediate coast. Be ready to protect plants, pipes, pets, and people from arguably the coldest air of the season.

Thursday is probably going to rank among the nastier, most raw days of this winter: Temperatures barely moving around within the mid-40s, persistent rain, and gusty northeast winds which will make it feel like the mid-30s. Speaking personally, it’s not my favorite by any stretch.

It’s worth noting that the 5:47 AM high tide may approach 7′ in the harbor as northeasterly winds push water levels higher. Some minor coastal flooding will be possible.

It’s going to feel a lot like it, but I’ve got to set expectations here: No, it is not going to snow. We are going to stay just warm enough at the surface and aloft for all precipitation to remain liquid, and the coldest air will lag the moisture by a few hours overnight. If you’re looking for snow, head northward: There are some small chances in the Pee Dee, but it looks like the bullseye is in eastern North Carolina.

This will be the last gray day for a few days; much more sunshine — and much colder weather — is on tap for Friday.

Get ready for a wet and possibly foggy (in spots) commute, as our best rain chances for Wednesday come in the morning to early afternoon hours as an upper-level disturbance ripples along a backdoor cold front that will be moving southward across South Carolina throughout the day.

Ahead of the aforementioned cold front, temperatures will generally stay steadily in the low 60s, perhaps warming slightly after daybreak. Once the front passes through, temperatures will fall into the 50s, with the potential for lingering showers into the evening hours.

This sets us up for a very chilly and rainy (emphasis on rainy!) Thursday. More to discuss on that in the morning.

After a mostly sunny but chilly day on Saturday, rain chances return today as moisture and upper-level energy overruns the area. Our best rain chances begin this afternoon through early evening, but scattered showers are possible all day as a surface trough takes shape along the coast. Keep rain gear handy!

Expect temperatures to be on par with yesterday; we topped out at 58° at the airport on Saturday and NWS is forecasting 60° today. It’s conceivable that we may yet run cooler than 60° depending on the onset of precipitation, so be ready to be chilly if you’re outdoors.

We start this Valentine’s Day off with mostly cloudy skies and occasional patches of drizzle and light rain as a plume of moisture with origins in the Pacific pushes eastward over our area. Once said plume begins to clear, we will see clouds follow suit, giving way to a nice and somewhat cool afternoon. The big feature of today’s weather, which lasts through the weekend, is the return to cooler, more seasonable temperatures in the wake of a cold front which swung through yesterday. Expect highs today to top out in the upper 50s to low 60s across the area, a marked change from yesterday’s upper 70s inland to mid-70s near the coast.

Sea fog impacts will wane this morning, but some areas of dense fog will be possible through 10am. Attention then turns toward what looks to be a rather warm day across the Lowcountry with the record high of 78° set in 1976 in serious jeopardy. If the forecast verifies, this would be the fourth 80° day of the season and the third this year.

Later this afternoon into this evening, a line of showers and thunderstorms will approach the area from the west alongside a cold front, which will knock temperatures down for this weekend. A couple strong thunderstorms with the capability of producing wind damage are possible. Widespread severe weather isn’t expected, but be ready in case a warning is issued. These thunderstorms look to affect the area between 4-8 PM.

After setting a record high on Tuesday, we will once again have another warm — but perhaps not record warm — day on Wednesday. We’ll start the day out around the normal high temperature for this time of year (62°) with some fog possibly in the area. After any fog in the area dissipates, we’ll be left with mostly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s, but will remain rain-free. The record high for February 12 is 79°, set in 2017.