We’ll continue this benign stretch of weather for the rest of the work week, but as we head into the weekend, we’ll need to keep an eye on a storm system that could bring another round of rain and thunderstorms for Sunday.

Much more sunshine is in store for Tuesday as low pressure pulls away from the area at the surface and aloft. This will help warm things up, too — after a mid-40s start, downslope winds out of the northwest and the aforementioned sunshine will push highs to the low 70s in the afternoon, a couple degrees above normal for March 11. Overall, a much nicer day than Monday (weather-wise, anyway).

The first solid severe weather threat of the spring arrives tomorrow morning as a potent storm system drags a cold front across the Southeast.

After a sunny but chilly Monday, temperatures begin to warm up ahead of Wednesday’s cold front as we get into Tuesday. We’ll also see cloud cover begin to thicken up as well, and there could even be a few showers at times as Atlantic moisture builds in. We start the day in the low 40s — about 10° warmer than the frosty start we felt on Monday morning — and head back to the low 70s in the afternoon. It’s going to be breezy as well — winds will generally run between 10-15 MPH, but could gust to 20-25 MPH at times.

After hitting 76° on Tuesday — 10° above normal, but still 10° below a record — we’re back to the mid-70s on Wednesday with more sunshine expected. Once again, we’ll start the day in the mid-40s, which is close to normal for February 26, but the forecast high of 76° will once again run 10° above normal.

A cloudy and cool Monday will give way to a much sunnier and warmer Tuesday. After starting in the low 40s, expect highs to peak in the mid-70s in the afternoon, several degrees warmer than the 68° we peaked at on Monday. This is well above normal for the end of February; the normal high for February 25 is 66°.

Unsettled weather is expected on Wednesday as a potent storm system brings us a good bit of much-needed rain, particularly in the afternoon into the evening. Lows start in the mid-40s, warming just to the mid-50s in the afternoon owing to the rain-cooled state of play. If you have travels taking you northward into the Midlands and beyond, there’s a risk for some winter weather as well, especially getting into NC and VA where ice and snow will be the rule. There will be too much warm air in our neck of the woods for any winter weather, and I suspect that is probably okay with many of you!

The temperature rollercoaster takes another upswing Wednesday and Thursday before dipping again Friday as a series of fronts affect the area.

Astute @chswx readers will note that Wednesday’s forecast high is about 10° cooler than the 74° that was advertised yesterday. High-resolution model guidance is strongly suggestive that the wedge front will take longer to move northward across the area as a warm front than previously thought. In fact, there’s some indications that it may stall out right across the Tri-County for a time, which certainly makes for a tricky temperature forecast. Right now, the going forecast is the mid-60s with mostly cloudy skies expected.

A wedge of cool high pressure hangs tough on Tuesday, bringing another gray and cool day to the area. Temperatures start in the mid-40s, warming to the low 60s in the afternoon — right around normal for this point in February. There’s going to be a risk for some showers from time to time, but an all-day rain isn’t expected.

We got very close to tying a record high at the airport on Tuesday as temperatures soared to the low 80s for the first time in 2025. Don’t let your hoodies walk too far, though — high pressure wedging southward will bring much cooler and cloudier conditions for Wednesday. After starting in the upper 40s to around 50°, expect temperatures to only head to the mid-to-upper 60s in the afternoon — a pretty stark contrast to getting into the 80s, that’s for sure.