Periods of showers and thunderstorms will figure somewhat prominently into Saturday’s forecast as a low pressure system moves across the area. The feed of moisture and shower and thunderstorm coverage should help keep highs from getting into the 90s, though even upper 80s combined with rich mid-70s dewpoints yield heat indices in the upper 90s. The tropical moisture feed could lead to some very heavy rain in some spots, with nuisance flooding possible where the heaviest rains set up. It won’t rain all day in any one location, either, but expect interruptions to outdoor activities.
Sunday should be a little quieter rain-wise (at least to start) as the disturbance lifts away. This will let temperatures head well into the mid-90s, yielding heat indices 105-110°. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should develop in the afternoon and evening hours, and there is a small chance of a thunderstorm complex trying to make inroads into the area later in the evening, so be ready to dodge those if being out Sunday is in your plans. All in all, no washout, but just be flexible.
Air temperatures return to more reasonable levels for mid-July this weekend as a trough digs in a bit more, nudging the ridge that had brought us quite a hot stretch back to the west. It will also improve shower and thunderstorm chances across the area starting Saturday afternoon. Granted, it will still be humid, and heat indices on Saturday in particular will head back north of 100°, but not quite as high as we’ve seen the past few days. Showers and thunderstorms should fire in the afternoon and evening as disturbances round the base of the trough. One or two of these storms could produce strong wind gusts. Be ready for rapidly changing conditions, but don’t cancel any outdoor plans, either.
Sunday could be a little more active as another disturbance passes by. It could instigate scattered storms by midday, but they’ll be more likely in the afternoon. Again, not expecting a washout by any stretch, but be ready to bring outdoor plans inside if thunderstorms approach your location. Highs top out in the low 90s Sunday with heat indices approaching 100°.
A fairly standard mid-July weekend lies ahead across the metro area. Highs top out in the low-to-mid-90s each day after starting out in the mid-to-upper 70s. The seabreeze will be the main instigator for afternoon and evening thunderstorms; as is customary for this point in the year, heavy rain and frequent lightning are the main threats, with gusty winds possible within the strongest storms. Severe or not, all thunderstorms are dangerous due to the lightning they produce. When thunder roars, go indoors.
“Speak Now” (Taylor’s Version) is not the only thing that’s going to get replayed over and over this weekend — so it shall be with the forecast as well. Expect muggy starts in the mid-70s each morning (with temperatures struggling to get below 80° downtown) followed by high temperatures in the mid-90s each afternoon. Heat indices will peak around 105° each day. While that would be a Heat Advisory in June, it happens so frequently in July and August that the criteria is moved to 110° on July 1. So, even though there’s no advisory, the risk for heat stroke is elevated in the afternoons.
From there, scattered showers and thunderstorms will fire along and ahead of the seabreeze as convective temperatures are reached, eliminating the cap that we’ll start the day with. Heavy rain and frequent lightning from slow-moving storms are the main concerns, and these will once again be mostly pulse-type storms (essentially pop up and fizzle out, much like Friday’s storms) with very weak wind shear in place. However, a damaging wind gust or two can never be totally ruled out where outflow boundaries get together and help improve lift, leading to stronger storms.
All in all, don’t expect a washout, but just be ready to move outdoor activities indoors at a moment’s notice. And stay hydrated!
The weekend forecast basically screams “first weekend of July in Charleston.” Morning lows bottom out in the mid-70s, while highs reach the mid-90s each afternoon with a few showers and storms possible along and ahead of the seabreeze. Humidity will be on the increase throughout the weekend. Heat indices on Saturday top out around 100-101°. On Sunday, the dewpoints head into the mid-70s and sends the heat index to around 106° in the afternoon. By virtue of it being July 2nd, there will not be a heat advisory as the criteria heads up to 110° on July 1, but anything past 105° is dangerous heat, and you should take the appropriate precautions.
The only potential fly in the ointment could arrive late Saturday/early Sunday as a thunderstorm complex rounding a ridge of high pressure approaches the area. It should be weakening, but a couple models suggest that it could hang on to bring some overnight/early morning rain. These are hard to pin down beyond a day or so, so stay tuned to forecast updates. For now, though, the going forecast for isolated PM thunderstorms looks solid.
Weather much more becoming of June arrives this weekend as the upper low continues to pull away and we get a break in the action. We return to the 90s each day this weekend, with only a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms on Saturday. Sunday could be even warmer, with highs approaching the mid-90s under partly cloudy skies. While a stray storm can never be totally ruled out, it’s looking like the vast, vast majority of us get Sunday in rain-free — some welcome drying out time after the soggy week that was.
This weekend is looking mostly quiet (weather-wise, anyway). Expect standard mid-June fare across the Lowcountry with highs topping out around 90° each afternoon. Saturday will feel a little drier than we’d normally feel at this point in the year, in fact, with dewpoints mixing out to around 60° in the afternoon. We may see an isolated storm later in the evening, but the vast majority of us stay dry.
It stays mostly that way for Sunday, though we’ll feel a little more in the way of humidity with winds turning more onshore. Once again, a stray afternoon storm is possible, but overall we look to get much of the day in rain-free. Expect highs to once again top out around 90°, with heat indices in the low 90s.
We’ve got a pretty decent weekend of weather ahead, though we may see a few storms Sunday afternoon and evening as a front moves back north through the area. Saturday looks like a great summer day, though — we start the day in the low 60s, which is a few degrees below normal for June 10. Highs then head up to around 90° in the afternoon, and with unseasonably low dewpoints, humidity won’t play quite the role we’re used to it playing in June. I suspect that you may want to get to the beaches a little early to avoid traffic.
Sunday starts a little warmer as temperatures start in the mid-60s, still a tad below normal for June 11. Clouds will be on the increase throughout the day, and we’ll be watching a warm front as it moves back north through the area for the potential to kick off some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, generally in the afternoon and evening hours. Highs top out in the mid-to-upper 80s, and with dewpoints about 10° warmer, it’ll be a little more humid, too. Overall, though, still not too shabby.
Looking for the 90s? They’ll be back starting Monday, and look to last for much of next week — but let’s enjoy the weekend first.
This weekend’s forecast is looking pretty good by 2023 standards, and will certainly be a far cry from what last weekend looked like. Saturday will be the warmer of the two days with highs topping out in the mid-80s in the afternoon. A few showers will be possible along the seabreeze, but those should be few and far between. A cold front moves by overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning, which will usher in some cooler and drier air that’ll keep highs capped around 80° in the afternoon under a mix of sun and clouds. Watch for some breezy conditions in the wake of the front on Sunday, with gusts near 30 MPH possible particularly on elevated surfaces and at the beaches.
We will turn warmer this Mother’s Day weekend as high pressure continues to slip offshore and some ridging builds in aloft. Saturday looks to be the pick day of the weekend, with the day starting in the mid-60s and highs topping out in the mid-80s in the afternoon. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible Saturday afternoon, but many of us should stay dry.
Afternoon thunderstorm chances tick up for Sunday as a front approaches the area. Highs top out in the mid-to-upper 80s after another start in the mid-60s. Depending on when storms can get going, a few 90° readings wouldn’t be out of the question, particularly further inland. No organized severe weather is expected, but a storm with a few strong wind gusts can’t be totally discounted especially where boundaries interact. Storm motions could bring activity toward the coast, too, so be alert to changing weather if your Mother’s Day plans include the beaches.
