Blog

A soggy week ahead as a front stalls across the area

/ August 1, 2021 at 10:20 PM

The good news for next week is that there will be no 110°+ heat indices to speak of. The bad news is that we’ll accomplish this with periods of heavy rain helping to keep temperatures down as a front stalls out across the area. Troughing aloft will help unfettered moisture transport over the next several days, and with the boundary in place focusing development of showers and storms, we look to see quite a bit of rain especially as we get into mid-week.

Monday looks to be the driest day of the work week as showers and storms should hold off until late. (It will also be the warmest day of the week as a result, but highs should only top out around 90°.) Deeper moisture will be shunted southward for a good bit of the day, helping to limit shower and storm coverage. This will change by Monday night, though, as the moisture feed retreats northward. Once this happens, expect the boundary to begin to come alive with periods of heavy rain moving across the area. Generally speaking, this will be the basics of the forecast for the next several days. As of right now, it’s unclear how long this setup will remain in place, especially when looking toward the weekend.

It’s important to note that this doesn’t mean it’s going to rain all the time. It is difficult to predict exactly when and where the heaviest rain — and the dry slots — will set up more than a day in advance in regimes like this. The general advice is this: Prepare to have plenty of indoor plans this week, monitor forecast updates for dry periods, and stay alert for the potential for flooding, especially in advance of and around times of high tide. That, and don’t totally toss your weekend plans just yet, as there’s plenty of uncertainty in the long range.