Meteorological winter began today, and it will definitely feel a little chilly as we start the work week off with highs topping out in the mid-50s. Temperatures will moderate a bit to the low 60s heading into Wednesday and Thursday. We’ll remain dry for much of the work week. Our next rain chance could come as early as Friday afternoon and may persist into the weekend; there’s a lot of model disagreement around specifics here, so stay tuned for forecast fine-tuning.
After a very refreshing weekend of below-normal temperatures, we will be headed back into the 70s for a few days starting Monday. (For what it’s worth, highs in the 70s are normal for early November.) However, another round of unseasonably cool weather is on tap for the weekend.
While much of the nation will close October out with fairly cold temperatures, a sliver of warmth will hug the East Coast, keeping temperatures closer to late September/early October normals for the work week. Upper-level disturbances will keep the weather rather unsettled as well, with rain chances Tuesday-Friday before a cold front ushers fall back into the picture for the weekend.
By the time some of you read this, the autumnal equinox will likely have passed (3:09 am), ushering in astronomical Fall. (It’s been meteorological fall since September 1.) Don’t tell that to Ma Nature, though. High pressure aloft is re-establishing itself, ushering us back into what is effectively a very summer-like pattern for the upcoming week.
A warm start to the work week will give way to a taste of fall to close it out. (I mean, my goodness, 82° and fair skies on Thursday? Pinch me!) Plus, no worries about the tropics for the foreseeable future, either. Here’s a look at the week ahead…
The week ahead will continue to feature a late-summer heat wave, especially as we kick off the new work week. Temperatures in the 90s will feel closer to the 100s with humidity with just a slight chance of an afternoon shower or storm to cool things off. Thunderstorm chances kick up as we head into the weekend as a tropical disturbance (more on that in a sec) is set to move through Florida, enhancing moisture in our neck of the woods.
The second half of 2019 will get off to a fairly hot start, with heat indices running in the low 100s each afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms will provide relief, particularly later in the week. (Must be July in Charleston.)