We’ll start this new work week rainy and warm ahead of a cold front. NWS is forecasting 1-2″ of rain for most of us through early Wednesday before the front swings through. And once that front swings through, what a difference — humidity will get knocked back down a peg and we’ll get into a really nice fall-like pattern to start October with highs in the 70s and lows generally in the 50s away from the coast.
Keep an eye on Tuesday’s forecast. As the cold front swings through with low pressure riding just to the north, there will be a chance for a couple strong storms. Right now, widespread severe weather is not expected. We’ll keep an eye on it.
Otherwise, make sure your hoodies and other light jackets are present and accounted for as we turn nice and crisp heading into next weekend!
We’ll start the week off continuing our taste of fall, with highs running in the mid-70s and lows in the mid-50s — the coolest since mid-May — expected through Wednesday. We’ll also continue to take a break from the rain for a few days as high pressure continues to build overhead. Coastal flooding will remain a concern with Monday and Tuesday’s high tides, with major flooding possible with the high tide cycles on Monday before gradually diminishing on Tuesday. By Wednesday, the coastal flooding risk will have ended.
As we get later into the week, we’ll see some moisture stream into the area courtesy of the remnants of Tropical Storm Beta. This could instigate a few showers at times as we head into the weekend. We’ll also see an uptick in temperatures and humidity as well, but we’ll stay right around normal for late September, so don’t expect anything too heinous.
So the first thing you will undoubtedly notice in the seven-day is that it is largely bereft of 90s (save for Monday). You may also notice a high of 79° for Sunday. Yes, that’s out there a ways and could still be tweaked upward, but it is just refreshing to see 70s for highs somewhere in the forecast. We’ll need to deal with some rain and coastal flooding to get here, though.
While meteorological fall begins on September 1, summer will blaze on in the Lowcountry over the next several days as we remain within a warm and humid airmass. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon along the seabreeze and other outflow boundaries generated by thunderstorm activity. As we head toward the weekend, a nearby frontal boundary could aid in additional showers and thunderstorms. We could see temperatures come down a little bit for Sunday as winds turn more onshore, but showers and storms remain in the forecast.
After what was an uncharacteristically wet and cloudy weekend across the Lowcountry, we will gradually move back into a more typical late-summer regime of afternoon thunderstorms and temperatures reaching the low 90s for the upcoming work week. But first, we’ll need to deal with a higher-than-normal risk for additional showers and thunderstorms on Monday, with potentially heavy rain having impacts starting early in the morning.
We continue to watch Hurricane Marco and Tropical Storm Laura as they continue on an unfortunate course to delivering a 1-2 tropical punch to parts of the Gulf Coast next week. Aside from some enhanced moisture funneling into the area from the storms around the western side of the Atlantic ridge through Monday, it does not appear that Marco or Laura will have any impacts in our area. We are now in the peak of the season, though, and we’ll want to keep a close eye on any waves that meander into the Atlantic from Africa for development over the next few weeks. Stay tuned…
After a brief respite from suffocating humidity today — the overnight temperature dropped to 69°, according to NWS, the coolest since June 20’s low of 67° — we will see rain chances return to the forecast as the upper trough which has kept things quite unsettled remains in place for the next few days. Brief bouts of heavy rain will be possible once again, but it won’t rain all the time or even every day at one particular spot. As we get into the weekend, Atlantic high pressure looks to build back into the area, which will help tamp down the overall coverage of storms (and begin sending temperatures back upwards a bit).
High pressure in the Atlantic and low pressure inland will keep the squeeze on for showers and thunderstorms each afternoon this week. Temperatures will top out in the upper 80s to around 90° each day before the onset of thunderstorms cools some of us down.
Thunderstorms will move slowly and thus have the potential to put down some pretty good rainfall, especially as we start the week, so be ready for localized flooding where storms set up. Lightning will certainly be a hazard as well, but the threat for severe weather otherwise remains low (though a wet microburst can never be ruled out).
We continue our midsummer heat, humidity, and thunderstorm chances as we close out July and head into August. Temperatures will continue to run in the low 90s each day; heat indices will top out in the low to mid-100s in the afternoons before the onset of thunderstorms. After more isolated coverage on Monday, expect an uptick for much of the rest of the week with a little upper-level support getting in on the action. Some of you who have been on the “miss” side of the “hit-or-miss” thunderstorms these past few days will have plenty of chances to get a free lawn watering in the upcoming week!
Stop me if you’ve heard it: We’ll see highs in the 90s, heat indices in the 100s, and a chance of thunderstorms pretty much every afternoon along and inland of the seabreeze. We might see a little uptick in shower and storm activity as we head toward the weekend as models suggest a little mid-level energy trying to work its way in, but we’ll keep an eye on this trend. Stay cool and masked up!
We will find ourselves firmly in a slightly unsettled summertime pattern for much of the week. Highs will top out in the low to mid-90s each day, with heat indices in the low to mid-100s in the afternoons. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day. It won’t rain all the time, and you probably won’t see rain every day, either. Mind the heat — take frequent breaks in the afternoon, get plenty of fluids, and seek out air conditioning when you can. Don’t forget to wear a mask!
@chswx is community-supported, hype-averse weather information, preparedness tips, and alerts for the Charleston, SC Tri-County area (Berkeley, Charleston, Dorchester counties) by Jared Smith.