Increasing moisture will proliferate across the area during the day Wednesday as high pressure continues to give way to a disturbance that’ll move across the Gulf. Much of the day should be dry as it takes some time for the remaining dry air to scour out, but once that does, expect showers to begin at some point Wednesday evening, peaking overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. Thursday’s going to be kind of a chilly and raw day as high pressure wedges in from the north, socking us in with cloud cover and occasional showers. Expect highs to top out in the low 70s at best. A warm front lifts north of the area later on Friday, and that’ll send temperatures back up a bit. We could see some rumbles of thunder alongside more scattered showers, so keep the rain gear handy.

Tropics: Gulf system no tropical concern, awaiting our next depression in the eastern Atlantic

The good news is that the specter of a tropical cyclone in the Gulf is essentially nullified. A front will interact with the poorly-organized low in the Bay of Campeche, putting an end to any explicit tropical threat. However, this will still transport plenty of moisture into the Southeast, and could help us squeeze out an inch or two of somewhat needed rain across our neck of the woods.

The second area of note in the Atlantic remains likely to become our next tropical cyclone in the next few days. It remains southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and will generally move WNW to NW. It’s way out there and there’s plenty of time to keep an eye on it. Given the pattern, I’d expect a recurve out to sea as the most likely scenario for this disturbance.

Programming note: Still under the weather, podcast on hiatus

Unfortunately, I’m still very under the weather and this is going to mean I’m going to need to keep the podcast on hiatus a few more days. This has been a gnarly few days and it just keeps coming. I’m hoping to be back in the full swing of things by the weekend, but we will see…

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