Jared Smith founded @chswx on Twitter in 2008 as an experiment in disseminating weather data through social media. In the ensuing decade-and-a-half, @chswx has provided live coverage of tropical cyclones, tornadoes, severe weather, and even a couple bouts of winter weather to the good people of Charleston, SC.
High pressure wedging southward into the Lowcountry and the resulting northeasterly flow will take a slight edge off the heat for Tuesday after another day in the mid-90s on Monday. It’ll still be a steamy start, though, and the low of 78° will get awfully close to the record warm low temperature of 79° set in 2024. We’ll warm into the low 90s in the afternoon, but dewpoints running in the low to mid-70s will drive the heat index into the upper 90s (standing in contrast to the mid-100s we’ve felt the past few days). High pressure ridging in aloft will put a lid on thunderstorm activity, though some of the convection-allowing models still try to squeeze out a few showers in the afternoon. Rain is highly unlikely, though, so don’t count on it.
A hot weekend is ahead, especially on Sunday, as high pressure builds in aloft. A few of us could get some relief from a few thunderstorms, but that’s not a guarantee for everyone.
Another quiet day is on tap for Thursday with high pressure in control. Lows bottom out in the low 70s, warming to around 90° in the afternoon. Dry air (for this time of year, anyway) will hang on for one more day, though it will be a bit more humid than it was on Wednesday. High pressure and warm air aloft should keep a lid on thunderstorms for one more day as well.
Generally normal summer weather continues for the rest of the work week, with a bit of an uptick in temperature as we head into Friday and the weekend.
Standard summertime fare continues in the forecast for Tuesday with seasonably warm temperatures and a few afternoon thunderstorms. We’ll start the day on the warm side of normal ahead of a stalling cold front, with lows in the mid-to-upper 70s. The record warm low temperature at the airport for June 23 is 78°, set in 2024, and we may get close to that. From there, we’ll warm into the low 90s, but dewpoints in the low 70s will drive heat indices to around 100° at peak heating. We should see a few storms fire along and head of the seabreeze in the afternoon, though the convection-allowing models are rather sparse with coverage. If storms get going, there are some indications that a pocket of dry air in the mid-levels could help produce some gusty winds in addition to the usual heavy rain and lightning threat, so be alert for possible special weather statements or even warnings.
Unsettled weather continues as the remnants of short-lived Tropical Storm Arthur move across GA and South Carolina late tonight into early Friday. From there, more typical summertime weather sets in.
We’re back in the 90s on Thursday as we get a brief lull in between disturbances, but showers and thunderstorms will return in the afternoon and evening as a slug of moisture from what we expect will be the remnants of Tropical Storm Arthur, which was christened earlier today, There will be a risk for a storm or two to produce some damaging wind gusts, but the overall severe weather threat this far to the east is fairly marginal. Will keep an eye out, though.
Unsettled weather sticks around for the rest of the work week as disturbances continue to move across the area, with a shot of tropical moisture enhancing rainfall heading into the weekend.
