Author: Jared Smith

Jared Smith founded @chswx on Twitter in 2008 as an experiment in disseminating weather data through social media. Somehow, it caught on, and he kept doing it.

Rain overnight gives way to a little bit of afternoon sun Tuesday

/ January 11, 2021 at 8:59 PM

As low pressure moves eastward along the Gulf coast, we’ll keep the risk of showers and drizzle around through early Tuesday afternoon before high pressure begins to build in and cloud cover slowly breaks. Watch for areas of fog in the morning; be sure to use low beams and be prepared for visibility to drop quickly.

We should see a little sun before Tuesday’s gone, and there will be much more where that comes from as we get into the rest of the week. Temperatures could top out in the upper 50s, but this certainly will be dependent on how quickly the cloud deck can scour out.

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The week ahead: Showers to start, then a few days of 60s

/ January 10, 2021 at 10:48 PM

The week ahead will be characterized with a few showers to start before warming up and clearing out in the second half. Clouds will increase overnight into Monday, with showers potentially developing over the ocean and moving inland starting in the afternoon. Shower chances will continue into Tuesday as a wave of low pressure affects the area. Once the disturbance clears the area, we’ve got a few nice days to close out the work week, with temperatures topping out in the low 60s each afternoon. A cold front will swing through early Saturday that may bring a shower or two, but other than that, we’ll cool back to around or a little below normal for the weekend.

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Friday and the weekend: Rain tapers off, cool temperatures remain

/ January 7, 2021 at 9:49 PM

We have a cool and quiet weekend ahead in the Lowcountry. Tonight’s rain will exit the area early Friday morning as a cold front swings through the area, but the storm system’s parent upper low will continue to lumber through North Carolina, potentially spawning scattered showers as the day goes on in our neck of the woods. Rain chances will decrease even further after sunset Friday, leading to a dry weekend.

Temperatures will remain cooler than January normals throughout the weekend, with mid-50s the norm as we sit between the departing low pressure system and high pressure in the upper Midwest. Relatively dry air will keep cloud cover generally thin, especially on Sunday.

Our next storm system arrives Monday as another upper low ushers through a front to start the week.

The week ahead: Temperatures around normal, late week rain chances

/ January 3, 2021 at 5:59 PM

The first work week of 2021 will generally arrive with little weather fanfare, with temperatures at or slightly above early January normals for much of the week. Rain chances tick up Thursday into Friday as a storm system moves through, but quiet weather returns for the weekend.

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Saturday: Warm, muggy, and occasionally quite rainy

/ January 1, 2021 at 10:32 PM

Well, 2021 is definitely getting off to a muggy start. After tying the daily record high of 80° for January 1, we’ll start Saturday in the mid-60s — several degrees above the normal high temperature — as unusually muggy air persists ahead of a cold front. Expect showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two to develop by afternoon, which will temper highs a bit (but not before reaching the low 70s). Some pockets of heavy rain are possible within stronger thunderstorms, but no severe weather is anticipated and the flood threat remains low. When all is said and done, some spots may have picked up 1-2″ of rainfall.

The front will get a move-on during the day, though, and by Sunday morning should be clearing the area, leaving behind quiet and generally pleasant January weather with slightly above-normal temperatures for the first work week of 2021.

2021 to get off to a stormy start

/ December 31, 2020 at 10:33 PM

We’re going to get 2021 off to a bit of a stormy start as a cold front affects our weather Friday and into much of the weekend before clearing the area Sunday afternoon.

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A foggy and showery New Year’s Eve celebration ahead

/ at 11:30 AM

It’ll be a warm but overcast night across the area as we flush 2020 and try again in 2021. Temperatures will hold in the mid-60s as the clock turns midnight, owing to the muggy airmass in place. Said muggy airmass will allow fog to develop later this evening as well; some patches of it may become dense, and NWS notes in its discussion that a Dense Fog Advisory could be required.

Watch out for a few scattered showers coming in from off the ocean this evening as well, but the bulk of the activity looks to remain northwest of here as rain continues to fall into the remnants of the cold air damming regime. Depending on where the front ultimately ends up, we could see that enhanced rain risk come a little closer to 17-A, but we’ll keep an eye on it.

Overall, it’s not the worst weather to end 2020 with, especially considering how this year has gone. I wish you all a very Happy New Year!

A few showers to close out 2020

/ December 30, 2020 at 10:47 PM

We’ll say goodbye to 2020 with quite a few choice words, warm temperatures, and perhaps a few showers mixed in at times. Showers will be possible at any point during the day Thursday, including up to midnight, so keep rain gear close if you are out and about.

Temperatures will turn noticeably warmer, with highs recovering into the 70s as we enter the warm sector ahead of our next storm system, which will hang around for a few days before clearing the area Sunday.

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Mostly cloudy skies persist today with scattered showers

/ at 8:19 AM

High pressure wedged in from the northeast combined with moisture overrunning a nearby coastal trough will keep clouds and scattered showers in the forecast today. This trough will eventually lift inland later today into tonight, swinging winds back around to the southeast and perhaps warming things up a touch. Generally speaking, plan for highs in the low to mid-60s across the area, and keep rain gear nearby. Rainfall amounts should generally remain light.

Rest of the week: 2020 offers a stormy transition to 2021

/ December 28, 2020 at 8:53 PM

2020 looks to hand off to 2021 in the fashion we would expect from this year — a bit on the warm and stormy side — as a cold front approaches the area from the west.

The last few days of the year will get progressively warmer, with 70s back in the picture for New Year’s Eve. Rain chances also return beginning Wednesday, with a shower or two possible as a coastal trough moves inland in response to high pressure to the northeast breaking down and moving out. Rain chances improve for Thursday along with a noticeable jump in temperatures (70s!) as warm and moist air overspreads the area ahead of our next storm system.

Overall, if you’ve got things to do outdoors, Tuesday’s your best day to for-sure avoid rainfall. As for New Year’s Eve, I’m not expecting a washout for fireworks displays as of now, but the devil is in the details. Stay tuned.

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