Like the past few days, we will be getting our storms out of the way during Thursday’s morning and early afternoon hours as storms developing over the Atlantic drift coastward. Expect a warm and muggy start in the mid-70s, warming to around 90° in the afternoon once the sun emerges from behind the clouds. Showers and thunderstorms will once again be capable of producing heavy rain, with a flood advisory or two not out of the question especially if storms begin to train. We may also see a waterspout or two as well; earlier today, a storm off Kiawah produced four waterspouts (none of which made it to shore, at least). Keep an eye out on the beaches or if you have some boating planned.

The first week of August looks unsettled with more rain on the way, especially in the first half of the week as low pressure aloft becomes cut off and stalls for a couple days.

High pressure will give way to a cold front approaching from the west, bringing more humid air and shower and thunderstorm chances back to the forecast for the weekend.

A brief interlude in midsummer humidity comes to a close as a stalled front that’s been hanging just south of the area lifts back northward on Friday. A stronger front approaches over the weekend, with deeper moisture and more widespread storms possible Sunday.

What looks to be a top-five-warmest July on record will close on a slightly cooler and drier note as high pressure nudges in from the north. Thursday starts in the mid-70s across the area, warming to the low-to-mid-90s in the afternoon with plenty of sunshine. As mentioned, the drier air will keep heat indices a little more in check, though they may still get close to 100° near the coast where the more humid maritime airmass resides. But with all that in mind, it’ll still feel better outside than it did at the start of the week.

Another hot and humid day awaits for Wednesday, then a bit of drier air filters in to take the edge off the heat ever so slightly to close out the work week and the month of July.

High heat returns to the Lowcountry on Tuesday as southwest winds pump plenty of warm and humid air into the area. We start in the mid-70s inland and upper 70s downtown and at the coast, and with plenty of sunshine, we’ll warm to the mid-to-upper 90s. Dewpoints will run in the mid-70s inland, while they’ll be running in the upper 70s to near 80° at the coast and behind the seabreeze. This will drive heat indices into the upper 100s to low 110s during peak heating, spiking in the wake of the seabreeze as dewpoints surge. A Heat Advisory will go into effect at 11am, and will run through 7pm for the entire Tri-County area. Take frequent water and shade breaks if you’re working outside during the height of the day tomorrow. A stray storm or two can’t be totally ruled out, especially overnight as a front drives southeastward into the Midlands before stalling out.

After a very wet weekend that included flooding rains at Mt. Pleasant and Isle of Palms, we should see a bit of a downtrend in rain chances as some of the deeper moisture that’s been hanging around this weekend moves offshore and further into the Atlantic. The pesky cold front that’s been hanging around will start the day just to our south, lifting north during the afternoon, so between this and the seabreeze, it’s still possible for a few afternoon thunderstorms to fire. Temperatures will run in the mid-70s Monday morning, topping out in the low to mid-90s in the afternoon. Heat indices should run around 102-106°, highest near the coast.

A stalled front will continue to contribute to shower and thunderstorm chances through the weekend, particularly on Saturday as a trough aloft swings through, providing a little extra “oomph” to budding updrafts aspiring to be efficient rain-makers.

A cold front that’s brought quite a bit of rain to North Carolina today will continue to sag southward Friday, stalling out around the area over the weekend and keeping our weather relatively unsettled as a result.