Another quiet day is on tap for Thursday with high pressure in control. Lows bottom out in the low 70s, warming to around 90° in the afternoon. Dry air (for this time of year, anyway) will hang on for one more day, though it will be a bit more humid than it was on Wednesday. High pressure and warm air aloft should keep a lid on thunderstorms for one more day as well.

Standard summertime fare continues in the forecast for Tuesday with seasonably warm temperatures and a few afternoon thunderstorms. We’ll start the day on the warm side of normal ahead of a stalling cold front, with lows in the mid-to-upper 70s. The record warm low temperature at the airport for June 23 is 78°, set in 2024, and we may get close to that. From there, we’ll warm into the low 90s, but dewpoints in the low 70s will drive heat indices to around 100° at peak heating. We should see a few storms fire along and head of the seabreeze in the afternoon, though the convection-allowing models are rather sparse with coverage. If storms get going, there are some indications that a pocket of dry air in the mid-levels could help produce some gusty winds in addition to the usual heavy rain and lightning threat, so be alert for possible special weather statements or even warnings.

We’re back in the 90s on Thursday as we get a brief lull in between disturbances, but showers and thunderstorms will return in the afternoon and evening as a slug of moisture from what we expect will be the remnants of Tropical Storm Arthur, which was christened earlier today, There will be a risk for a storm or two to produce some damaging wind gusts, but the overall severe weather threat this far to the east is fairly marginal. Will keep an eye out, though.

High pressure remains in control across the area, limiting afternoon thunderstorms and allowing heat to continue to build on Thursday. We’ll start in the mid-70s, warming to the mid-90s in the afternoon. Mix in dewpoints in the low-to-mid-70s and that will yield heat indices approaching or even slightly exceeding 100°. And while a brief popup sbower is never fully out of the question this time of year, the vast majority of us will stay rain-free.

High pressure at the surface and aloft remain the main weather drivers heading into Tuesday, keeping us on the warm and humid side. We’ll start the day in the low-to-mid-70s, warming to around 90° in the afternoon. A weakening front to the north could kick up some stray showers generally for inland Berkeley, but the ridge aloft will likely keep a lid on more robust thunderstorm development. A similar setup will persist Wednesday before the ridge flattens out a bit, allowing for more shower and thunderstorm development getting into late week.

Another comfortably warm day lies ahead for Thursday as high pressure at the surface and aloft remain the dominant weather features. Temperatures will once again start well on the cool side of normal for this time of year, bottoming out in the upper 50s away from the coast. We’ll warm to the mid-80s in the afternoon, but low-50s dewpoints will help not to make it feel terribly uncomfortable.

We should see another scattering of showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday in association with a cold front that will make for a rather nice second half of the work week. Temperatures will start in the mid-to-upper 60s, warming to just about 80° in the afternoon as the front pushes further southward and drier air begins to find its way in. Dewpoints should fall nicely late Tuesday into Wednesday, setting up a stretch of spring-like conditions through Friday.

Heat peaks Thursday before scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms fire along the seabreeze in the afternoon. From there, a cold front sags southward across the area, and keeps shower and storm chances going through Thursday night. We’ll start the day on the warm side with lows in the mid-70s. More westerly winds will keep things a bit drier to start the day, but these winds will help enhance convergence along the seabreeze for those aforementioned showers and thunderstorms as we get into the afternoon. Before thunderstorms begin to disrupt the temperature curve, highs will peak in the low 90s, and heat indices will easily run in the mid-90s, perhaps getting closer to 100° than we’d like in the Highway 17 corridor.

Severe thunderstorms aren’t expected, but some gusty winds can’t be ruled out. There’s plenty of available moisture for a lot of rain to fall in a short period in a few spots, too, but not everyone will see a downpour. However, it seems probable that most of us should be able to measure precipitation by Friday morning.

Showers and maybe a few thunderstorms will continue to be in play for the forecast as we get into the midpoint of the long Memorial Day weekend, though the greater activity will continue to be found along and west of the I-95 corridor. For Sunday, we can expect the bulk of our activity likely during the morning and early afternoon hours before the seabreeze pushes inland and takes most of the activity with it. However, showers will be possible throughout the day, so be ready to move outdoor plans inside just in case a shower or thunderstorm approaches.

After another day in the upper 80s on Wednesday — just missing 90° by a couple degrees at the airport — we should turn even a little warmer for Thursday with plenty of sunshine to be had. It’ll be a bit of a balmy day in general as lows in the upper 60s warm to the low 90s in the afternoon. Mid-60s dewpoints will keep the heat index in check, though it may feel a tick or two warmer than the air temperature.