Mostly sunny skies and westerly winds will combine to bring temperatures in striking distance of additional records on Tuesday. Highs across the area will generally top out in the low-to-mid-80s, with the warmest weather away from the coast. The seabreeze is going to have a tough time getting too far inland with the persistent and occasionally breezy west winds, which should spread the 80s onto the barrier islands. The beaches should run much cooler, with temperatures in the low-to-mid-70s right on the coast.
The record high for Tuesday is 86°, set in 1962. While we may not tie or break that record, the record high minimum temperature of 63° set in 2021 certainly looks attainable.
We will continue to get near record highs for a good chunk of the rest of the week before a cold front — and perhaps some strong storms — approach the area Friday.
Our warm spell peaks on Thursday on the heels of a second consecutive day where we’ve at least tied the record high. Temperatures will soar into the mid-80s, getting within striking distance of the record high of 86° set just last year. We’ll see a few more clouds ahead of an approaching backdoor cold front, but we look to remain rain-free for one more day.
After highs topped out around 78° today, we’ll once again challenge (and likely reach) 80° for the third time so far in 2023 on Tuesday as high pressure continues to build across the area. We’ll be in a mix of clouds and sun throughout the day with perhaps a shower or two later in the day/early evening as some upper-level energy glances the area.
The record high for Tuesday is 82°, first set in 1991 and then tied in 2019. We will get within striking distance, especially if cloud cover thins out a bit more. It’s also worth noting that the forecast low temperature of 60° is only five degrees below the normal high for this point in the year, and is just one degree below the record high minimum temperature of 61° set in 1989.
Temperatures topped out close to 80° today in the Lowcountry, and we should meet or even slightly exceed that for Thursday despite a little more cloud cover ahead of Friday’s cold front. We start the day quite mild for mid-February (mid-50s) before soaring to around 80° in the afternoon. Certainly a short-sleeve day for a majority of the day; you’ll shed that light jacket quite early on, methinks.
Thursday will be another warm day across the Lowcountry. We’ll start the day with mid-50s and some patches of fog. Heading into the afternoon, highs will top out in the mid-to-upper 70s once again despite more cloud cover than we saw on Wednesday. South winds will be a touch on the breezy side as well. We should get the day in rain-free across much of the area. There’s a small chance that a shower or two could brush the coast in the afternoon, but the bulk of the rain stays away until overnight Thursday into Friday.
No major weather concerns to write home about for Tuesday. There may be some patches of fog in the morning, but nothing too heinous or concerning (though if you do run into fog, make sure you’re using your low beams and keeping some extra following distance). Otherwise, temperatures around 40° will rise into the upper 60s to around 70° in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies, making for a nice day across the Lowcountry.
Expect to wake up to some showers in the area on Sunday as a coastal trough sharpens and moves ashore. Temperatures will run warmer in the morning thanks to increasing cloud cover, with lows bottoming out in the low 40s (as opposed to the low 30s this morning). High temperatures will approach 60°, several degrees warmer than we felt today (Downtown didn’t even make it into the 50s!). Shower chances look to peak by midday before tapering off later in the day. We’ll close the day with quieter weather and maybe a few peeks of sun before it’s all said and done. About a quarter-inch of rain is expected — nothing terribly out of bounds once again, and still quite useful given ongoing dryness.
After a record high downtown (77°, breaking the record of 76° set in 1916 and tied in 1950) and just falling short at the airport (81°), temperatures are turning significantly cooler across the area as a wedge front sinks southward tonight. This will result in mostly cloudy conditions for Thursday, with highs running almost 20° below where they did today. Expect some showers to creep back into the area later in the day, with better rain chances settling in overnight into Friday. (Let’s just hope we don’t get caught in a temporal loop on this Groundhog Day.)
We’ve got more gray weather in store for a good bit of Tuesday, but there may be a little reprieve later in the day before showers return to the picture around sunset. We’ll start the day with fog across the area, which may turn a bit dense at times. A shower or two can’t be totally discounted, either. Be ready for some delays on the morning commute as a result.
We will get a break from the rain and fog around midday. There’s a chance we could see some peeks of sun in the afternoon, which would be welcomed. This could help drive temperatures into the upper 60s within a rather humid airmass. Scattered showers may break back out, particularly after sunset.
Bottom line: Keep the rain gear nearby, though you shouldn’t need it as much as you did on Monday.
We’re not looking at a total washout for much of the day, but expect showers to develop later in the day on Sunday as a warm front pushes ashore along with some mid-level energy rippling about. Before rain sets in, temperatures should top out around 70°, making for perhaps some short sleeves weather for a time. Shower chances increase around sunset, peak overnight, and will linger into Monday morning. This could be another decent soaking for us, especially given moderate drought conditions across a good bit of the Tri-County area — expect storm totals between .5-1.5″ across a good chunk of the area with locally higher amounts possible. The good news is that no flooding issues are anticipated, and there’s no severe weather risk, either.
@chswx is community-supported, hype-averse weather information, preparedness tips, and alerts for the Charleston, SC Tri-County area (Berkeley, Charleston, Dorchester counties) by Jared Smith.