This weekend’s weather looks closer to what we wish we had last weekend. Expect highs to run generally in the mid-80s on Friday and Saturday. A cold front pushes through later Saturday, and this will drive highs a little cooler on Sunday as a result — generally topping out in the low 80s. We’ll start each day squarely in the mid-60s. Overall, these temperatures are below normal for the start of June.
This might be one of the quieter weekends we’ve had rain-wise this far this year. A stray shower or storm is possible Friday afternoon and evening, with lower chances Saturday and Sunday. We’ll see how this evolves, but this might be as close as we’ve gotten to a rain-free forecast for a weekend since early February! Stay tuned.
If you’re looking for a more authentic June feel, highs in the upper 80s look to return to the weather picture — at least briefly — by the middle of next week.
Thursday’s forecast is quiet and a little cool for this point in the year as we kick off climatological summer on June 1. Temperatures will generally run a couple degrees below normal on Thursday as cloud cover and a northeast breeze helps to keep things a little on the “cool” side. (Quotes around “cool” because it’ll still be warm and a little muggy, too.) As is customary for June, a shower can’t be totally discounted within this regime, but the vast majority of us get the day in rain-free.
We start to see a shift toward more unsettled weather beginning Thursday as low pressure begins to organize offshore, sending more moisture and some windy conditions our way. We start the day around 60° as high pressure remains wedged in place. We’ll get a fair bit of the day in rain-free as highs top out around 80° in the afternoon. As low pressure begins to organize offshore later Thursday, we’ll start to see a risk for a few evening showers.
A cold front will slowly push south across the area overnight into Thursday, but it will not bring rain chances to a close. Moisture riding atop a wedge of high pressure will keep plentiful showers and maybe some thunderstorms in the forecast. Some spots may see an additional 1-2″ of rain on top of the rain that fell on Wednesday, and additional bouts of flooding may be possible as a result. The risk for severe weather will be lower given the widespread precipitation as well as the cooler temperatures, especially behind the front. Expect highs to only top out in the mid-70s with a breezy northeasterly wind.
We’ll need to monitor for the risk for moderate coastal flooding with the 8:08 PM high tide. The current forecast is for water levels to peak between 7.5-7.7′, which should be enough to close several roads in downtown Charleston. We will obviously want to watch very closely for the prospect of heavy rain in the area around this time as the coincidence of the two would be decidedly not great. Stay tuned to forecasts throughout the day, especially if you have downtown in your plans Thursday night.
We’re turning warmer to close out the work week and head into the weekend as high pressure shifts offshore and winds go more southerly. Friday tops out around 84° with a low in the mid-60s, while Saturday heads to the upper 80s and Sunday tops out near 90° as ridging builds in aloft.
We look to stay rain-free Friday, but a storm or two will be possible Saturday afternoon with slightly better storm chances Sunday afternoon into the evening hours. Some spots may see some brief downpours and some gusty winds, but it’s not looking terribly favorable for organized severe weather. That being said, storm motions will be coastward, and so if you head to the beaches or are otherwise out and about, keep an eye to the sky and be ready to head indoors if weather conditions take a turn. Remember, when thunder roars, go indoors!
Not much to write home about weather-wise on Thursday. We’ll see a mix of clouds and sun throughout the day and continued comfortable temperatures; lows start in the low 60s with highs topping out in the low 80s in the afternoon, with an easterly breeze and the expected broken cloud cover to be a contributor to those temperatures. All in all, no hazards are expected and it should be a fine day.
Allow me to revise the list of life’s inevitabilities as of 2023: Death, taxes, and shower chances over the weekend. A slow-moving front will be the latest culprit, keeping isolated to scattered showers on our mind each day this weekend. (It’s worth noting, though, that a total washout is not expected!)
Thursday will represent the peak of our stretch of nice weather for one main reason: the pressure gradient that has kept our winds elevated for several days will finally have relaxed, bringing winds down to a light breeze during the day. Otherwise, it’s a carbon copy of Wednesday: Lows around 50°, with highs in the mid-70s in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. I hope you can take advantage!
So one thing you’ll notice out of the gate with Friday’s forecast is that it looks a lot less stormy. This is due to the batch of rain pushing through as of this writing on Thursday evening; once this is through in the early morning, we’ll be in a lull in the more widespread activity, it looks like. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms remain possible, though, particularly further inland. The atmosphere will be primed for some sporadic severe weather if storms can fire given sufficient instability and shear, with damaging winds and hail the main concerns. However, the if in the previous sentence is pretty loaded — some models show very little if any rain during the day Friday. We’ll want to wait and see, and I’ll encourage you to stay weather-aware in case storms threaten, but overall the forecast looks a lot less soggy than it has for a good bit of the week. Highs will top out in the low 80s after starting the day in the mid-60s.