We’ll continue to put Monday’s cold snap in the rear view on Wednesday as temperatures continue to trend warmer with high pressure moving eastward. Temperatures will fall to the mid-30s overnight, but increasing cloud cover should keep a lid on further radiational cooling and keep us above freezing. From there, we’ll warm into the low-to-mid-60s as the cloud deck continues to thicken courtesy of a coastal trough taking shape offshore.
While it won’t be as windy as it was on Monday morning, we still have quite a frigid start queued up for Tuesday as lows drop back to the low 20s in the morning, with some upper teens possible closer to and west of I-95. However, with high pressure beginning to slip to the east, we’ll start to see temperatures begin to moderate in the afternoon as mostly sunny skies prevail. While the forecast high of 54° remains well below normal for this point in December, it will feel tropical in comparison to Monday’s high of 39° at the airport (which ties the record cold high temperature first set in 1942).
After another cold start on Wednesday, we’ll see temperatures climb a bit, though it’ll still be on the chilly side of normal, especially Thursday as a reinforcing front kicks up the cloud cover a bit.
We’ll finally shed the cloud cover that’s punctuated the last several days on Tuesday as high pressure builds in from the northwest. The aforementioned high pressure will drive even cooler and drier air into the area, and we’ll wake up below freezing as a result away from the coast. The northerly breeze will help drive wind chills down into the low to mid-20s during the morning, so be sure to add a layer or two as you head out for the day. The feed of cooler and drier air continues throughout the day, so even with plenty of sunshine, highs will likely not climb out of the upper 40s.
High pressure to our north will be shifting offshore as Tuesday goes on ahead of a storm system moving through the Ohio Valley, allowing a warm front to push northward into the area during the day. Some of us may see a few showers as this warm front moves northward, especially later in the morning and closer to the coast. They’ll be relatively short-lived, clearing the area during the afternoon, and won’t amount to too terribly much rain for those who see any of it at all. It’ll be a mild day once again, with lows in the mid-50s warming to the mid-70s in the afternoon in the wake of the warm front.
The main weather story for the rest of the work week will be unseasonable warmth courtesy of a ridge building in aloft. Temperatures will run well above normal, with highs approaching 80° particularly Wednesday and Friday (and maybe Thursday, depending on the position of a cold front to the north).
After a near-normal day of temperatures on Monday, we’ll look for a similar performance on Tuesday. Temperatures will start in the mid-40s across much of the area (a little warmer near the coast, a little cooler further inland), and highs will peak around 70° in the afternoon with mostly sunny skies remaining the rule. Winds will be going more southerly during the day as surface high pressure begins to shift offshore. This will set us up for a few days of rather warm temperatures starting Wednesday.
Record lows were tied both at North Charleston as well as Downtown Charleston Tuesday morning as a potent shot of Arctic air swung through the area. The low at the airport fell to 29°, tying the record first set in 1943, while Downtown fell to 32°, tying the record low first set in 1913. A record cold high temperature appears to have been set as well at the airport, with the high only reaching 49° for the day, breaking the record of 54° set in 1968. Downtown also only peaked at 49°, but the record cold high temperature of 46°, set in 1913, remains safe. The freezing temperatures put an end to the growing season, which means that there will be no more Frost and Freeze products from the National Weather Service until the season resumes in March.
The good news is that a warming trend begins Wednesday. Temperatures will bottom out around or below freezing further inland, but should only drop to about the mid-30s closer to the coast and in the metro area. Temperatures will rebound quite nicely under full sunshine, with highs peaking in the mid-60s in the afternoon. This is still a little off the normal high for this point in November, but only by about 5-6° as opposed to 22°! The warming trend continues Thursday into Friday as the airmass continues to moderate under high pressure, with just a few clouds from time to time. Overall, there continues to be no major weather concern this week now that we have last night’s freeze behind us.
A highly anomalous Arctic intrusion is arriving this evening, evidenced by gusty winds 25-30 MPH and plummeting dewpoints across much of the area as of 7PM Monday. Further north, some flurries were reported in the Charlotte metro area and as far south as Hartsville, SC. Here at home, the first freeze of the season will occur for the vast majority of us; ensure pets and plants are protected and safe tonight as temperatures will fall into the 20s. Wind chills could drop into the upper teens, prompting a Cold Weather Advisory for Dorchester County. (Layer up!) Despite full sunshine, temperatures may not crack 50° in the afternoon, owing to the strength of the Arctic blast. If these forecasts verify, new record low and record cold high temperatures will be set at the airport: the record low for November 11 is 29°, set in 1943, while the record cold high temperature is 54°, set in 1968.
