Legitimate sweater weather arrives Wednesday as the coldest air of the season thus far moves into the area. We start the day in the mid-40s but don’t expect temperatures to climb too much beyond the mid-50s despite lots of sunshine. In fact, we may at least tie a different kind of record high on Wednesday — the record low maximum temperature for November 1, which was also 55° last set in 2014.

Thursday looks to get off to the coldest start since early March, and a continued north to northeasterly breeze will drive the wind chill down to around or even below freezing. Dress accordingly in the morning! From there, highs will run a few degrees warmer than they did on Wednesday, but that’s not saying much as we’ll still see temperatures struggle to reach 60° despite unencumbered insolation. The record low maximum of 58° on Thursday is probably safe, but it’ll be close.

The airmass starts to moderate on Friday, though, as warmer air begins to work back into the area. We start Friday in the low 40s before warming to the upper 60s to around 70° in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. The warming trend continues into the weekend, too, as we head back to the 70s each afternoon under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies.

Changes are on the way on Halloween as a strong cold front moves across the area later in the day, bringing an uptick in cloud cover, maybe a shower or two, and a surge of the coldest air so far this season to start November. We start Tuesday in the upper 50s to around 60° with just a few clouds to start. From there, expect cloud cover to gradually thicken as the front gets closer. We should see it get through sometime mid-afternoon into the early evening; you’ll notice it when winds shift around more to the north.

Trick-or-treaters will want a light jacket as temperatures cool into the 50s throughout the evening. As mentioned, a shower or two will be possible, but the risk is quite low.

The rest of the work week will be seasonably warm as high pressure remains in firm control of our weather. We’ll start Wednesday noticeably warmer than Tuesday with lows in the upper 50s as opposed to the upper 40s. From there, temperatures will warm to near 80° under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies. We start Thursday even warmer, with low 60s forecast — several degrees above normal for this point in the year. Temperatures top out around 80° with a mix of sun and clouds. As for Friday, copy and paste — pretty much the same story as Thursday. We keep warmth heading into the weekend and to start next week, though we should see a cooldown in time for Halloween.

High tides on Wednesday will get close to coastal flood criteria and could yet require a Coastal Flood Advisory or two if the departures tick up just a little more. We’ll flirt with minor coastal flood criteria at times of high tide into the weekend, so keep an ear out for possible Coastal Flood Advisories from the National Weather Service.

We get off to a fairly chilly start on Tuesday as lows bottom out in the upper 40s thanks to clear skies and light winds. This will be the low-water mark (so to speak) for temperatures, though, as we head into the rest of the week. Highs on Tuesday top out in the mid-70s once again, perhaps a degree or two warmer than we saw on Monday. All in all, another nice October day.

Sun continues for a couple more days before unsettled weather arrives later Friday with a cold front. Wednesday could be the chilliest start since April 18 if the NWS forecast verifies, with low to mid-40s common away from the locally warmer coastline. Temperatures will warm into the low 70s under mostly sunny skies, a couple clicks warmer than was observed on Tuesday.

Thursday runs even a little warmer as winds go a little more east to southeast, allowing some more moisture to work into the area. Expect to start Thursday in the low 50s before warming to the mid-70s under generally partly cloudy skies.

Our next rain chance arrives Friday afternoon into the evening ahead of a cold front. This will be the warmest overall day of the set as lows generally start in the mid-to-upper 50s before reaching highs in the mid-70s in the afternoon before showers begin. Right now, it doesn’t look like we’ll get much in the way of rain; generally around a quarter-inch at most. Of course, that doesn’t preclude a few spots from seeing some slightly heavier or lighter amounts.

Once the front is through, we have an excellent, seasonable weekend of weather on tap with lows in the low 50s and highs in the low 70s each afternoon with plenty of sunshine.

Tuesday will be another seasonably cool day under mostly sunny skies as high pressure remains in control at the surface with troughing aloft. After an upper-level disturbance passes by overnight Monday, skies will clear, allowing temperatures to fall into the upper 40s away from the coast for Tuesday morning. Temperatures then rise into the upper 60s, with the potential for a couple spots to hit 70°. Overall, a very seasonable October day across the Lowcountry.

Increasing moisture will proliferate across the area during the day Wednesday as high pressure continues to give way to a disturbance that’ll move across the Gulf. Much of the day should be dry as it takes some time for the remaining dry air to scour out, but once that does, expect showers to begin at some point Wednesday evening, peaking overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. Thursday’s going to be kind of a chilly and raw day as high pressure wedges in from the north, socking us in with cloud cover and occasional showers. Expect highs to top out in the low 70s at best. A warm front lifts north of the area later on Friday, and that’ll send temperatures back up a bit. We could see some rumbles of thunder alongside more scattered showers, so keep the rain gear handy.

Clouds and temperatures will be on the increase for Tuesday as moisture begins to move back into the area. We start Tuesday in the low 50s before temperatures warm reasonably quickly into the low 80s by early afternoon. We should get plenty of sun for much of the day, though cloud cover will be thickening by evening.

The past couple days have been marred somewhat by wildfire smoke moving southwest from Canada, and it looks like that may persist at least into parts of Wednesday as well. There could be some air quality impacts, so if you are sensitive to particulate matter, you may want to spend a little more time inside. (Masks such as N95s will help here, too!) Smoke aside, the weather is otherwise quiet; lows bottom out in the low 60s once again and head into the low 80s in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies. We’ll also need to keep an eye on the midday high tide for one more round of minor coastal flooding, but that should do it for this stretch of coastal flooding events with some pattern changes in the offing.

We should see improvements with the smoke heading into Thursday, but cloud cover will begin to creep up as a little more moisture starts to work into the area. We should stay rain-free, though a shower might not be totally out of bounds. Highs once again top out in the low-to-mid-80s.

Warmth peaks Friday as ever-so-slightly higher dewpoint air continues to move in. We start the day in the mid-to-upper 60s and top out in the mid-80s with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm or two in the afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. Said front moves by Saturday, and by Sunday, temperatures are very fall-like.

Our solid start to October continues on Tuesday, with mostly sunny skies and comfortable temperatures continuing with high pressure in control. The only potential issue will be the risk for moderate coastal flooding with high tide just before noon; there could be travel disruptions as some of y’all look to grab lunch, so that’ll be something to keep an eye on. Otherwise, though, it’ll be another very nice day.