After a rather pleasant weekend, temperatures will begin to trend back above normal this week with chances of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms each afternoon. Highs will be getting into the mid-80s by midweek, marking a return to that summer preview we were feeling toward the end of March. A cold front will move through the area sometime later this week, bringing a reduction in temperatures, but showers may yet stick around. It’s a fairly low confidence forecast looking toward next weekend with a fair bit of divergence in the models, so stay tuned for updates as things will undoubtedly need to be ironed out.
After a downright summer-like weekend, more seasonable conditions (with even some below-normal temperatures) will assert themselves as we kick off April. First, though, we’ll get a few showers and storms through the area on Tuesday.
We’ll get off to a bit of a showery start this week as a mess of frontal boundaries and upper-level disturbances interact to bring occasional rainfall to the area. Temperatures will rebound nicely from Sunday’s low 60s into the low 70s on Monday. A warm front crossing north of the area Tuesday will bring some shower chances and slightly warmer temperatures. By Wednesday, a cold front trailing from a low pressure system moving through the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic will bring us a few more showers — and a return to the 80s — before clearing the area.
The aforementioned front will bring a drop in dew points on Thursday, but won’t necessarily cool things off too much thanks to deep westerly flow around a ridge of high pressure in the Gulf of Mexico. As we get into the weekend, said ridge will move eastward and strengthen. At the same time, surface flow will turn more southwesterly, ushering in early summer-like conditions for Friday and Saturday. A record high appears likely on Friday and may be threatened Saturday as temperatures top out in the upper 80s. A 90° reading somewhere inland may not be out of the realm of possibility, depending on where the ridge sets up. Sinking motion in the atmosphere will keep rain chances muted into the weekend.
Our seemingly standard Winter 2020 pattern remains in force this week: A warm, unsettled start to the work week gives way to a cooler, drier weekend. Before it’s all said and done, NWS expects another inch of rain or so on top of the 4.04″ that has fallen in this wetter-than-average February. The best chance of rain is overnight Monday into Tuesday, with some lingering showers possible early Wednesday. A cold front will knock temperatures down several degrees below late February norms by Thursday, and we may ring in the start of meteorological spring (March 1) with a freeze in the morning. All in all, just another standard week in what passes for winter in this part of the world.
After a brief return to winter, more very spring-like (and unsettled) weather returns to the forecast for this week. Much of the work week will feature at least a chance of showers each day, with the potential for a few thunderstorms Tuesday as well as Thursday. Another front will clear the area Friday, cooling us off for a brief period before the potential for another disturbance on Sunday. Good news is that it does look like that we’ll squeeze in some decent weather for SEWE. Temperatures will remain well above-normal, with 70s in store starting Monday through Thursday.
The weather story this week is early spring, and not just because Punxsutawney Phil said so. (And can one truly call it an early spring if winter hasn’t really been much of a factor?) Much of the week will be punctuated by temperatures in the low 70s as our lack-of-winter continues thanks to a rather high-latitude jet stream keeping Arctic air locked in to the north.
With this warmth, though, comes the specter of severe storms, and it appears there is some potential for this on Thursday as a cold front approaches the area.
Are y’all ready to chill out a little? We’ll start the week with temperatures well below normal as an Arctic airmass takes hold across the Lowcountry. Freezing temperatures will be possible inland of 17 Monday morning with highs only topping out in the mid-40s. A more widespread freeze is forecasted Tuesday and Wednesday, with the potential for freezing conditions all the way into downtown Charleston. Be ready to bring in pets and sensitive plants.
As we get into the second half of the week, temperatures will begin to moderate. Thursday will approach 60°, and Friday will be much warmer as a cold front approaches the area with showers coming alongside it. Showers will gradually clear out Saturday, and by Sunday, we’ll have fewer clouds and temperatures back to near-normal levels for late January.
We’ve got another very warm day on tap for Monday as a cold front approaches the area with a few showers (and perhaps a rumble of thunder or two) coming along with it. Temperatures will drop closer to normal for New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day with pleasant skies to greet us for 2020. Then, things turn unsettled and warm again as we head toward Friday and Saturday as another cold front works its way through the area. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sunday turn out a lot cooler than 65° — a lot depends on when a secondary shot of cool air moves into the area. Rest assured that the first full week back to work and school looks much cooler!
Meteorological winter began today, and it will definitely feel a little chilly as we start the work week off with highs topping out in the mid-50s. Temperatures will moderate a bit to the low 60s heading into Wednesday and Thursday. We’ll remain dry for much of the work week. Our next rain chance could come as early as Friday afternoon and may persist into the weekend; there’s a lot of model disagreement around specifics here, so stay tuned for forecast fine-tuning.