Tag: the week ahead

The week ahead: Stormy start, then turning cool and quiet

/ February 4, 2024 at 11:57 PM

The first full week of February gets off to a stormy start as strong low pressure affects the area, particularly in the morning. We’re looking for the potential for some coastal flooding early in the day, and this combined with heavy rainfall could cause flooding problems across downtown Charleston, especially around high tide a little after 3:30am. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 2-6am for the salt water flooding threat; if that heavy rain does coincide, additional flood advisories for land-based areas would be needed. Rain does slowly taper off as Monday goes along, but we stay on the chilly side as breezy northeasterly winds blow in. This keeps highs capped to the mid-50s after an upper 40s start.

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The week ahead: More seasonable temperatures than last week

/ January 28, 2024 at 11:06 PM

Temperatures will be much more seasonable this week as a trough re-establishes itself in the east over the next few days, though we will still run a couple degrees above late-January and early February normals (highs generally in the low 60s). Weather will be generally quiet this week as generally dry air and surface high pressure generally rules the roost. The main exception will be Wednesday as an upper low dips nearby, instigating surface low pressure across the Carolinas, but even then the risk for showers will be generally very limited given the dearth of moisture. Quiet weather resumes Thursday through Saturday before another storm system develops in the Gulf of Mexico and strafes the area to the south. Drier air will again limit our rainfall potential, but we will turn a little cooler heading into next week as another upper low lumbers through the area.

The week ahead: Decidedly warmer, but showers hang around

/ January 21, 2024 at 10:58 PM

After a quite chilly weekend, we will be thawing out very quickly as we get into the new work week. Monday gets off to one more frigid start with lows in the mid-20s. From there, though, we start to see the arctic airmass begin to modify as a ridge builds aloft and surface high pressure shifts offshore. Monday’s high goes into the mid-50s, much warmer than we were at any point over the weekend. Then it gets downright spring-like: Tuesday warms into the mid-60s after a mid-40s start, and by Wednesday we’re in the 70s. Mid-70s take hold Thursday through Saturday ahead of a cold front, which should help to bring temperatures down a touch by Sunday.

The only fly in the ointment will be scattered shower chances beginning Tuesday and really lasting for the next few days as we sit between an upper trough to the west and ridging to the east. This will transport moisture and occasional upper-level disturbances into the area, and a surface trough along the coast will help act as a focal point for shower development. It won’t rain all the time or all day at any one spot, but all the same you’ll want rain gear handy just in case, especially heading into the weekend as the aforementioned front approaches.

The week ahead: All eyes on Tuesday’s severe potential

/ January 7, 2024 at 5:43 PM

The active weather pattern we’ve found ourselves in for the start of the year continues this week as we’ll see at least two storm systems visit the area, with quiet and generally cool weather days interspersed between them.

Monday will feature increasing clouds and a steady east to northeast breeze as high pressure wedges southward. We start the day in the mid-30s and warm to around 60° in the afternoon with clouds steadily increasing ahead of Tuesday’s storm system. Late Monday, a warm front will lift north of the area, which may bring some scattered showers along with it, but we should get much of the daylight hours, if not all of them, in rain-free.

more on Tuesday’s severe potential and beyond

The week ahead: After a record-breaking day, turning quiet — and cold

/ December 17, 2023 at 9:23 PM

After a record-breaking — historic is not hyperbole in this case, frankly — day of weather, we’ll turn back to more tranquil — and for a few days, quite cold — conditions as we head into the final shopping week before Christmas.

Monday will feature temperatures generally in the ballpark of normal, but a strong (but dry) cold front will clear the area late Monday into early Tuesday, shifting winds to the northwest and turning on the chill as high pressure builds in from the west. Expect to start Tuesday very near freezing in the metro area, and likely at or below freezing further inland. Despite sunny skies, strong cold advection should keep temperatures below 50° in the afternoon. (Brrr.) A solid freeze looks to set up for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, with lows in the 20s across much of the area as high pressure settles in overhead. Highs on Wednesday get to about 50-51° or so with a few clouds at most.

After another freeze Thursday morning, high pressure will slip offshore and temperatures will begin to recover into the upper 50s to low 60s to close out the week. We’ll keep an eye on Christmas weekend for our next storm system, but the usual model disagreements are sufficient enough where any confidence in any rain is pretty low.

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The week ahead: Mostly quiet with cooler-than-normal temperatures…until the weekend

/ December 10, 2023 at 10:26 PM

A cold front getting through overnight Sunday will clear the area by daybreak Monday, ushering in much cooler and drier air and setting up a week of below-normal temperatures. Clouds will be scouring out Monday morning, yielding abundant sunshine, but cold advection will keep temperatures capped to the mid-to-upper 50s in the afternoon.

Tuesday morning will start in the mid-30s — about 10° cooler than Monday morning — and could dip into freezing territory further inland. Highs will run a touch warmer, but only in the upper 50s to around 60° under mostly sunny skies. Temperatures moderate a little more on Wednesday before a reinforcing cold front swings through, sending Thursday’s highs down to the mid-50s with an increase in cloud cover, though dry air will preclude any rain with this front. Highs in the 50s continue to close out the work week.

As we get into the weekend, we warm up some, but the weather may turn unsettled once again as a coastal trough may develop with assistance from a storm system in the Gulf. It seems 2023 wants to go out the way it came in — with a continuous pattern of unsettled weekends. Not cool, 2023.

The week ahead: Mostly quiet with a mid-week cooldown

/ December 3, 2023 at 9:30 PM

After a weekend in which clouds were prevalent but rain perhaps not so much, we get into a mostly quiet week ahead despite a few frontal passages that will gradually cool us off as we move through the week.

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The week ahead: Mostly quiet; first freeze possible mid-week

/ November 26, 2023 at 5:31 PM

After a very chilly and raw Sunday in which the high temperature didn’t (as of this writing, anyway) reach 50°, temperatures make a brief rebound for Monday in the wake of a front as high pressure builds in. Diminishing cloud cover and northwesterly winds will help temperatures rebound to the low 60s on Monday, which will feel positively wonderful. Temperatures will then drop into the upper 30s for Tuesday morning as the cooler high pressure begins to settle in over the area. Temperatures will only reach the mid-50s on Tuesday despite ample sunshine. Radiational cooling conditions improve tremendously as winds go light and skies go clear Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, and this will allow temperatures to get down to freezing for the first time this season in many spots in the metro, particularly inland. Highs will head to the mid-50s once again with full sunshine.

From there, high pressure begins to move away, turning nature’s heat pump back on as winds go more southerly. We’ll get off to another frosty start Thursday morning before warming to the low 60s in the afternoon. Friday will be even warmer, with lows in the mid-40s (closer to normal for this point in the year) and highs in the low 70s in the afternoon. We’ll keep this warmer weather going into the weekend, with lows well above normal for Saturday and Sunday, albeit with some shower chances as mid-level disturbances swing through from time to time.

The week ahead: Warm start, unsettled at times, but a seasonable and quiet Thanksgiving

/ November 19, 2023 at 11:40 PM

The week ahead will be unsettled at times as a couple disturbances, including a reasonably strong cold front, come by this week, which will bring more beneficial rain to the area (and maybe even a few rumbles of thunder).

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The week ahead: Seasonably cool to start, rain in the middle, improving this weekend

/ November 12, 2023 at 10:31 PM

After a dreary weekend, some sun begins to peek back out for Monday, and this will help temperatures get closer to — but still a touch below — mid-November norms. Expect highs in the mid-to-upper 60s Monday through Wednesday, with high temperatures reaching the low 70s starting Thursday and continuing into the weekend, with a slight cooldown for Sunday in the wake of a weak cold front.

Clouds will steadily increase through the first part of the work week as a reasonably vigorous disturbance ejects out of the southern Plains, with surface low pressure moving southeast from the Gulf Coast toward the Florida peninsula, dragging an inverted trough to its north that will help be a forcing mechanism for some shower activity here at home. There’s a slight chance of showers as soon as Wednesday, with rain chances peaking Thursday before gradually tapering Friday and perhaps into Saturday depending on the timing of the trough’s exit and the aforementioned front crossing the area. Most of Saturday should be rather nice, and Sunday will offer even more in the way of sunshine.

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