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Tag: tropical update

Friday & the weekend: 90s return; rain holds off until Sunday

/ September 4, 2025 at 6:37 PM

Warmer and a little more humid air will return to the area Friday as winds go more southerly. With high pressure remaining in control for a few more days, though, we’ll stay largely quiet weather-wise this weekend before a front starts to affect the area later Sunday.

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Thursday: One more day of lower humidity and sunny skies

/ September 3, 2025 at 8:06 PM

We’ll start to turn a little warmer on Thursday as high pressure to the northeast breaks down a bit, but we should still get one more good day of low humidity in before we start to see dewpoints begin to climb back toward 70° starting Friday. Temperatures on Thursday start quite comfortably once again, with mid-60s the general rule across much of the area. We’ll warm to the upper 80s on Thursday afternoon with plenty of sunshine. The only fly in the ointment may be some very minor coastal flooding around the 6:19 PM high tide, with water levels currently forecast just below 7′. If water levels trend a little higher, a Coastal Flood Advisory may be issued. Otherwise, though, it’ll be another really nice early September day in the Lowcountry.

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Rest of the work week: Staying mostly quiet with gradually warming temperatures

/ September 2, 2025 at 8:00 PM

The rest of the work week will remain generally quiet (weather-wise, anyway), as high pressure remains in control at the surface. Temperatures will be on a warming trend as we get over the hump and into the second half of the work week as the mid-level trough that’s kept us on the cool side flattens out and retreats a bit north. We’ll also start to see high pressure build back in from the Atlantic for a few days, which turns the flow at the surface more southerly and starts to bring that more warm and humid air back to the area. We’re in the mid-80s Wednesday, upper 80s Thursday, and likely back to around 90° on Friday, with lows steadily climbing with the dewpoints back to around 70° by Friday morning. However, we look to stay rain-free through about Saturday before another front approaches for late weekend/early next week.

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Friday & the weekend: Heavy rain expected, Flood Watch through Sunday morning

/ August 21, 2025 at 10:47 PM

Friday and the weekend will be on the unsettled side as a front stalls out nearby. Waves of low pressure developing along the front will help to tap into resurgent tropical moisture, and given how soggy it’s been this month, it won’t take terribly much for flooding to develop. Thus, a Flood Watch will go into effect at 8am Friday, lasting into late Saturday night/early Sunday morning. We’ll want to pay close attention around the evening high tides on Friday and Saturday, as water levels in Charleston Harbor will remain elevated in the wake of Hurricane Erin. Salt water flooding looks like a good bet, and any heavy rain on top of that would cause widespread issues in downtown Charleston. Keep an ear out for flood alerts from the National Weather Service, especially for Flash Flood Warnings, as they may become necessary over the next few days.

The upside to this is that temperatures will run below normal. Highs on Friday should only top out in the mid-80s, while Saturday’s high may only climb to the low 80s. We’ll warm up a little on Sunday as the periods of heavy rain should taper off, but highs in the mid-80s still run a few clicks below the normal high of 89° this time of year.

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Thursday: Another warm day, but changes are afoot

/ August 20, 2025 at 10:22 PM

Thursday will be another warm day across the Lowcountry, with lows in the mid-70s warming to the low-to-mid-90s in the afternoon. Heat indices will run in the upper 90s to perhaps 100° in spots under generally partly cloudy skies. We should start to see cloud cover begin to thicken a bit as we get into the afternoon and evening hours, though, with rain chances increasing as Hurricane Erin accelerates to the northeast and a cold front drives south into the area, stalling out as it gets to our south.

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Tuesday: A few storms possible as coastal hazards from Erin ramp up

/ August 18, 2025 at 10:30 PM

After an uncharacteristically quiet Monday (weather-wise, anyway), Tuesday should feature a few more storms as a little energy aloft moves through and interacts with the afternoon seabreeze. Temperatures start in the mid-70s, warming to the upper 80s to around 90° before thunderstorms disrupt the temperature curve for some of us. Models do indicate some isolated heavy downpours, though with less in the way of deep moisture, the flooding threat shouldn’t be terribly high.

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The week ahead: Erin passes to our east, bringing coastal hazards

/ August 17, 2025 at 6:02 PM

The week ahead starts out on a warm note with high pressure in play before turning more unsettled by the time we get into the weekend. Meanwhile, Hurricane Erin will be passing offshore, sparing us direct impacts but kicking up high surf, a risk for dangerous rip currents, and even some coastal flooding in the evenings.

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Weekend forecast: A bit stormy at times Saturday, less so Sunday

/ August 15, 2025 at 9:58 PM

More storms are in the offing for Saturday as a front slides southward across the area, eventually stalling out across Georgia. This front, though, brings us a slightly cooler and drier airmass that filters into the area starting Sunday.

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Friday & the weekend: An unsettled couple days ahead of a more traditional summertime pattern

/ August 14, 2025 at 10:19 PM

Another hot day is ahead Friday as heat indices once again climb well into the 100s under partly cloudy skies before thunderstorms develop along and ahead of the seabreeze in the afternoon. These will be generally scattered in nature — not everyone will see a storm, but those who do could get a quick round of heavy rain and gusty winds along with a good bit of lightning.

Better storm chances arrive on Saturday as a front sags south and eventually falls apart. Many of us should see a storm on Saturday, particularly in the afternoon, with plenty of triggers available for thunderstorm development. This should also help keep temperatures pinned to around 90° — still hot, but not as hot.

Lower dewpoints move in with northeast flow behind the front, giving us a little less humidity to deal with and slightly cooler temperatures as well. Ridging aloft will persist, allowing highs to get to around 90°, while a few showers and thunderstorms will be possible on the seabreeze each afternoon. We’ll keep this going into next week, too.

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Thursday: Warm with a few storms

/ August 13, 2025 at 8:31 PM

Thursday will be a fairly typical mid-August day across the area. We’ll start in the mid-to-upper 70s, warming to around 90° in the afternoon with heat indices generally running in the low to mid-100s given continued dewpoints in the mid-to-upper-70s, highest downtown and along the coast with closer proximity to the water. Once again, showers and thunderstorms should fire on the seabreeze in the afternoon, and a couple of those could be on the strong side with frequent lightning and gusty winds. Winds out of the west will drive showers and storms coastward, so keep an eye on this if you’re taking a day at the beach (you lucky duck).

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