After a coastal trough made this weekend quite a bit wetter than first anticipated, we’ll see rain chances steadily head up throughout the week as an upper low approaches the area and stalls out. Rain chances continue into the weekend as we watch a surface trough approach the area from the Bahamas.
We’ll likely see a wide scattering of showers on Monday, but between high pressure’s last gasp across the area and the better forcing from the upper low staying just to the west, we’ll likely mark Monday as the driest day of the week. Said upper low gets closer and stalls out Tuesday and Wednesday, helping to enhance lift and moisture transport across the area, which in turn improves rain chances. Moisture hangs around into the weekend, keeping rain chances in place as troughing approaches from the Bahamas. NHC is watching this for a slight chance of tropical development, but high wind shear should preclude any development. Shower chances look to persist into the weekend as a coastal trough redevelops and persists.
Temperatures will remain right around normal for early October, but we will remain on the humid side with lows bottoming out around 70° inland and in the mid-70s near the coast.