The week ahead will be bookended by really nice weather, though we’re going to need to get through another risk of showers and thunderstorms — yes, with a few possibly being severe — on Wednesday before we get through to the weekend.

For Monday, though, expect a slightly less windy carbon copy of Sunday. After starting in the mid-40s, highs will topping out in the low 70s under mostly sunny skies as cool and dry high pressure hangs on for one more day. We’ll see temperatures begin to head back up on Tuesday along with cloud cover as high pressure slips offshore in advance of our next storm system on Wednesday.

Wednesday will once again test our stretch of good luck with severe weather threats so far this spring. We’ll see a warm front lift across the area in the morning, putting us (at least briefly) in the warm sector of a strong storm system which is forecast to bring significant weather impacts to the Gulf Coast over the next two days. While in that warm sector, temperatures look to warm to the upper 70s despite decent cloud cover. Early calls from the models show decent instability and ample shear supportive of a slight severe weather threat. Given the close proximity of the front, I’d expect a more linear storm mode with damaging straight-line winds the primary concern, but there seems to be enough low-level shear to support a low-end tornado threat as well. Even outside of thunderstorms, winds look to be rather gusty courtesy of a strong low-level jet moving across the area. So, you’ll want to keep an ear out for forecast updates for the next couple days as the details are worked out.

Exact timing on the front’s passage will still need to be worked out, but overall, expect rain chances to trend downward as Thursday goes on. The front will leave behind a rather pleasant airmass with plenty of sun, low humidity, and high temperatures running near normal (low 70s) for Friday and the weekend. And so it goes with spring — some really nice weather mixed with the occasional nastygram.