The rest of the work week will remain generally quiet (weather-wise, anyway), as high pressure remains in control at the surface. Temperatures will be on a warming trend as we get over the hump and into the second half of the work week as the mid-level trough that’s kept us on the cool side flattens out and retreats a bit north. We’ll also start to see high pressure build back in from the Atlantic for a few days, which turns the flow at the surface more southerly and starts to bring that more warm and humid air back to the area. We’re in the mid-80s Wednesday, upper 80s Thursday, and likely back to around 90° on Friday, with lows steadily climbing with the dewpoints back to around 70° by Friday morning. However, we look to stay rain-free through about Saturday before another front approaches for late weekend/early next week.

Tides could reach flood stage, especially later this week

We’re keeping an eye on the potential for water levels to hit flood stage in Charleston Harbor especially as we get toward the weekend. This is courtesy of the upcoming full moon and continued elevated tidal departures from onshore flow. Right now, the risk for coastal flooding doesn’t look terribly serious, but we may have a few evenings of salt water to contend with especially starting Friday.

Tropics: The next depression is likely by the weekend

Odds continue to increase for the Atlantic’s next tropical depression to develop by the weekend as a disturbance continues to move westward over the open ocean. NHC’s probabilities for development have bumped to 70% in the next seven days, and I expect this upward trend to continue as more model data pretty much settles in on something developing. There’s plenty of time to keep an eye on this one, but for now, the preponderance of the evidence suggests another recurve. Fingers crossed this bears out! We’ll let you know if it decides to do something different, but nothing to worry about here for now.

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