A non-tropical storm system spinning up offshore will bring wind and rain to the area along with major coastal flooding with the midday high tides Friday and Saturday. We’ll start to see some improvements Sunday, thankfully.

A cold front will pass through overnight, bringing with it a chance for showers and maybe even some thunder as it moves by. Behind that front will be a significant airmass change as high pressure builds southwestward into the area. We’ll wake up to lows in the mid-60s, with temperatures climbing just to the mid-70s under mostly cloudy skies. It’s going to be quite breezy, with northeasterly winds gusting 30-35 MPH at times, especially near the coast.

The strong northeasterly winds will drive water levels in the harbor quite high on top of already high astronomical tides, especially during the day on Thursday (and for the next several days). High tide will peak around 10:06 AM around 8-8.2′ MLLW, which is comfortably in the major flooding threshold. A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect and will likely be upgraded to a warning if trends continue overnight. Be ready for numerous road closures in downtown Charleston as well as salt water impingement onto roads on James and Johns Islands as well as Daniel Island. Moderate coastal flooding is expected with the evening high tide as well, with water levels peaking around 7.5-7.7 MLLW between 9 PM and midnight. This should be high enough for another round of road closures downtown, so be mindful if your travels take you there Thursday night.

Occasionally unsettled and breezy conditions will continue for the next few days as a front moves through, high pressure builds in, and low pressure spins up offshore.

We stay warm on Tuesday with another day of high pressure at the surface and aloft driving temperatures above normal across the area. We’ll start the day near 70°, warming to the mid-80s in the afternoon under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies. A few showers appear possible near the coast during the morning and early afternoon hours, but otherwise, many of us should get a rain-free day in.

We will need to continue to monitor the risk for coastal flooding around times of high tide, especially during the morning, with minor to moderate coastal flooding likely between 6-11 AM. (High tide peaks around 8:23 AM.) When we get into moderate flood stage, we start to run into more widespread road closures downtown, and given the timing, commute impacts appear likely. Allow extra time to reach your destination if downtown is where you’re headed in the morning. Another round of minor coastal flooding will be possible generally between 7-11 PM, which may yet close a few vulnerable roads but should not get as high as the morning high tide.

Warm temperatures will continue for the first half of the week before a cold front knocks temperatures down below normal starting Thursday. Shower chances will be with us for much of the week, though, and we’ll be dealing with coastal flooding as well.

A decent weekend of weather awaits. While Saturday is the pick day of the weekend, if you are okay with dodging some showers, Sunday doesn’t look terrible, either. Generally speaking, we can expect highs in the low 80s each afternoon after lows in the mid-60s on Saturday and upper 60s to around 70° on Sunday. Breezy northeasterly to easterly winds will continue with high pressure still wedged southward across the area, though that high will begin to give way on Sunday and send rain chances up a little bit as a result. Can’t rule out some thunder, either, though that looks relatively unlikely.

We will need to watch times of high tide for minor to moderate coastal flooding as we approach the full moon next week. The continued onshore flow will help to drive water levels higher on top of already high astronomical tides, which should reach heights that will close some roads downtown. Be alert for possible Coastal Flood Advisories from the National Weather Service.

Temperatures will continue to be generally seasonable if not slightly cooler than normal for Friday and the weekend as high pressure continues to wedge southward into the area, though we will see an uptick in moisture and, eventually, rain chances heading into Sunday.

Thursday will give us a really nice taste of fall as cool high pressure wedges southward into the area. We’ll start the day with temperatures around 60°, warming to just the mid-70s under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies. The northeasterly breeze will still be somewhat elevated, which may contribute to some minor tidal flooding around the 4:45 PM high tide. Otherwise, it’ll be an enjoyable day to get outside and touch some grass.

With Imelda departing to our east, high pressure will wedge down across the area, ushering in some cooler and drier air that’ll be particularly noticeable on Thursday. Shower chances return for Friday heading into the weekend, though.

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and Imelda to the southeast will be tightening on Tuesday, and we should have a fairly breezy and seasonably cool day once again thanks to those northeast winds as well as cloud cover and a few lingering showers. Temperatures start around 70°, but should only warm to the upper 70s to maybe 80° depending on breaks in the clouds. The decaying coastal front will still be able to contribute to a few showers, but we should see shower chances diminish as we get through Tuesday and Imelda pulls further and further offshore.

There’s a chance that we could see some minor tidal flooding Tuesday afternoon courtesy of elevated water levels due to the onshore, northeasterly flow. The better chances for coastal flooding will begin Wednesday, though, and may be with us for a little bit as we head toward a full moon next week.