We’ll get Black Friday off to a bit of a cloudy and perhaps showery start as a disturbance ripples through the area, kicking up some patchy rains for a few hours Friday morning. From there, rain will depart and clouds will gradually break some, and we should end the day with some sunshine. We start Friday in the upper 40s and warm to the low 60s.
High pressure wedging southward will keep Saturday on the cool side under a mix of sun and clouds. Temperatures start in the mid-40s but may not crack 60° in the afternoon given the cool high pressure wedging into place. Sunday will represent the coolest start of the set with lows in the low 40s expected. However, we’ll warm to the low 60s in the afternoon as the wedge begins to weaken in advance of another disturbance for Monday. Still, high temperatures will run on the cool side of normal, so sweaters may be advisable.
Coastal flooding could be an issue Saturday and Sunday mornings. Water levels around the 6am high tide Saturday could reach 7.2′, while moderate coastal flooding is possible with Sunday morning’s 6:46am high tide as water levels could peak between 7.6-7.8′. We’re approaching a full moon on Monday, but the bigger driver of coastal flooding will be NE winds kicking up near the coast thanks to a pressure gradient between high pressure building in over land and low pressure spinning up offshore. Stay tuned for possible Coastal Flood Advisories from the National Weather Service.
After some much-needed rain Tuesday and Wednesday, we get a day to dry out on Thanksgiving. Expect plenty of sunshine for much of the day (albeit with clouds increasing late) and some cooler and drier air as well — we’ll wake up to lows in the mid-40s that will yield to highs in the low 60s as generally light north winds blow in. Overall, it looks like a great day to get together with family for food and football, amongst other things.
A cold front will continue to approach the area overnight Tuesday into Wednesday, bringing a line of showers and a few thunderstorms along with it that’ll arrive Wednesday morning. Some periods of heavy rain may be possible, and even a couple pockets of gusty winds won’t be out of the question, either. It’ll be one more warm and muggy start with lows bottoming out in the mid-60s. Highs head to the low 70s in the afternoon ahead of the front, which should get through late Wednesday. Once this happens, cooler and drier air will push in, and we’ll wake up to temperatures in the mid-40s on Thanksgiving Day. High temperatures will only reach the low 60s with continued cool advection under partly cloudy skies. Shower chances return on Black Friday as another disturbance moves across, but it won’t be quite as potent and rain shouldn’t be nearly as heavy, nor will it be a total washout. Expect generally similar temperatures to Thursday, so you’ll probably want longer sleeves with a bit of a water-resistant flair to them.
Tuesday’s forecast will be unsettled at times with periods of showers ahead of a cold front that’ll advance through the area on Wednesday. It’s going to be a warm and humid day, with lows around 60-61° warming to the mid-70s in the afternoon. Shower chances will increase as we get into Tuesday night and early Wednesday, and some rumbles of thunder may be possible as well. We need the rain and it looks like we could get a fair bit of it in spots. A half-inch of rain seems to be a decent bet in many locations, with locally heavier amounts possible as well.
