Charleston summer is in full swing as we get into the last week of June as hot and muggy conditions will be prevalent for the foreseeable future.

Monday will be particularly warm with westerly winds ahead of a front that’ll be sagging southward throughout the day. This front along with the pinned seabreeze should help ignite some showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, but not everyone’s going to get heat relief. We start the day in the mid-to-upper 70s, warming to the upper 90s in the afternoon with heat indices around and even a little above 105° expected. (Note: 105° used to be heat advisory criteria, but that has changed this year — 108° heat index or higher for two hours is the new heat advisory criteria.)

The front hangs around Tuesday before retreating northward Wednesday. This should generally lead to standard afternoon thunderstorms along and ahead of the seabreeze each day. Highs continue in the mid-90s after mid-70s starts both days, with heat indices once again potentially approaching 105°. Rain chances tick up Thursday and Friday as a disturbance moves across the area, while ridging builds aloft for the weekend and starts to reduce afternoon storm chances. Highs continue in the low to mid-90s each afternoon after mid-70s starts, with heat indices flirting with the Heat Advisory criteria especially later in the work week. Be sure you’re taking frequent breaks and hydrating if you’re working outdoors in this swampy weather!

The week ahead will generally feature temperatures around if not even a touch below normal at times through mid-week before warming back up, perhaps into the mid-90s, for the weekend.

We start the week off fairly quietly as a little bit of lower-dewpoint air nudges into the area, generally capping highs in the upper 80s to around 90°. High pressure aloft and at the surface will keep thunderstorm chances very low, so expect to at least get the first couple days of the week in rain-free.

High pressure starts to weaken as we head into Juneteenth, and the standard summertime afternoon thunderstorm chances respond accordingly. Storms could be a little more widespread Thursday as low pressure approaches Florida, enhancing the flow of moisture into our neck of the woods. A warming trend begins Friday as high pressure offshore moves a little further south, turning the resulting flow at the surface more southerly as well and essentially turning the heat pump back on. Low-to-mid-90s temperatures are expected Friday through Sunday, with scattered thunderstorms each afternoon.

After highs topped out in the mid-90s on Sunday, we’ll see temperatures back down a little bit toward normal heading into the upcoming work week as a front crosses through and stalls out nearby, potentially bringing a somewhat unsettled Monday. Showers and thunderstorms could be in the area during the morning hours, but the better chance for rain arrives in the afternoon and evening as more forcing arrives. Temperatures start in the mid-70s, heading to around 90° under a mix of sun and clouds.

The weather turns quiet to start the new work week, and we’ll even enjoy slightly lower temperatures and a little less humidity for at least a couple days, too! Monday looks particularly nice with lows in the mid-60s warming to highs in the low 80s in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. A warming trend commences thereafter, with highs in the mid-80s Tuesday followed by upper 80s Wednesday. 90s return on Thursday, and we stay around there for Friday and the weekend as well…alas, with a bit more summertime humidity in play, too.

Rain chances are quiet through Thursday as ridging aloft rules the roost. This ridging will give way to a few disturbances starting Friday and lasting into the weekend, which will bring some shower and thunderstorm chances primarily in the afternoons. There’s no washouts anywhere that we can see, though — just be sure to have a secondary indoor plan to go along with your outdoor plans as we head into the Memorial Day weekend.

I hope everyone got to enjoy this fine Mother’s Day weekend, because we are getting back to storms for a good chunk of the upcoming week. We start Monday on a dry note, but shower and storm chances will increase as a disturbance moves across the Gulf Coast states toward the East Coast. We start Monday in the low 60s, warming to the low 80s in the afternoon with clouds on the increase ahead of shower and thunderstorm chances later in the day.

The upcoming week will be on the warm side as ridging aloft builds in, sending mid-week temperatures well into the 90s and perhaps into record territory.

First, though, we deal with another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms for Monday. Temperatures on Monday start once again in the upper 60s to near 70°, warming to the mid-80s as one last upper disturbance makes its way through. We should see thunderstorms fire up around or a little after midday and generally remain scattered in nature. A few heavy downpours will be possible, and a strong storm can never be totally discounted near where boundaries collide — and on the flip side, some of y’all might not see any rain at all. (That time of year!)

High pressure will be the main weather driver again this week, which will help drive temperatures a few degrees above normal to close out April and bring in May. Monday will be the coolest day of the period with lows in the upper 50s yielding to highs in the low 80s in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. We warm a little bit on Tuesday with a bit more in the way of cloud cover as well (and maybe a shower or storm well inland). Seabreeze thunderstorms could be in the offing for Wednesday as we get into a stretch of temperatures about 5° or so above normal that’ll last well into the weekend. Quiet weather is expected Thursday and Friday before another disturbance potentially spawns a few isolated thunderstorms on Saturday afternoon as well as into Sunday. No washouts expected, though.

After last week’s summer preview, temperatures will be more seasonable by late April standards, even getting off to a much cooler than normal start on Monday as clouds gradually break up. Expect highs to only top out in the mid-to-upper 60s on Monday as a northerly breeze persists across the area. Tuesday gets off to the coolest start this week in the mid-40s before warming to the mid-70s in the afternoon — truly looking like a fantastic weather day in the Lowcountry. We’re back to the low 80s Wednesday before a dry front knocks temperatures back down to the upper 70s for Thursday and Friday. 80s return over the weekend, with some mid-80s possible by Sunday. You’ll notice a dearth of rain chances — it should be a great week overall to get outside, and I hope you can take advantage!

You’d be forgiven if you thought this week’s forecast was something straight out of early June, but no, it indeed is the forecast for the third week of April. High pressure ridging overhead will keep the weather generally quiet, with the storm track staying to our north. Expect highs in the mid-to-upper 80s on Monday and Tuesday, with cloud cover ticking up Tuesday into Wednesday as temperatures briefly cool down mid-week. We’ll warm back up into the mid-to-upper 80s to close out the week ahead of a front, which could bring a slight shower or storm chance to the area — along with cooler temperatures — for the weekend.

Viewing conditions look good for Monday’s partial solar eclipse across the Charleston area. It’ll be a warmer than the past few days, too. Expect to start the day in the upper 40s before warming to the mid-70s in the afternoon. The eclipse starts just before 2 PM, peaks around 3:10 PM with about 70% of the sun obscured by the new moon, and ends just before 4:30 PM. You’ll need eclipse glasses to experience this one — don’t look directly into the sun! If you don’t have your eclipse glasses from 2017, you can use a pasta strainer to project the shadow of the eclipse down onto another surface; the shadows will have a curved look, especially as we head toward peak eclipse.