A reinforcing cold front will swing through overnight tonight, ushering in the coldest air so far this season. We’ll start the day in the low 50s, but gusty north winds will cause temperatures to struggle to the low 60s despite increasing sunshine as clouds from the frontal passage dissipate. This certainly qualifies for sweater weather in our neck of the woods — have the warm clothes at the ready!
Thursday morning will be the coldest of the set as the cool air continues to push into the area, though winds will diminish a little. Temperatures in much of the metro could dip into the upper 30s to around 40° — quite possibly the coldest morning since February 22, when it was 37°. The wind chill will be a factor (pun somewhat intended), and could make it feel close to freezing. A couple layers aren’t the worst idea heading out the door in the morning. Despite full sunshine, temperatures will still only recover to the mid-60s at best in the afternoon. This is well below normal for this point in the year (think upper 70s), and may flirt with record cold high temperatures as well (62° set in 1970).
Temperatures start to bend back toward climatology on Friday, though. We’ll start the day in the mid-40s as a bit more of an onshore component to the wind develops, heading to about 70° in the afternoon under sunny skies once again. As we get into the weekend, temperatures will continue to run a bit below normal, but mid-70s will mean short sleeves are back on the menu. With plenty of sunshine, it’ll be a solid weekend of San Diego-like weather (if you know, you know).
Tuesday’s temperatures, despite plenty of sunshine, will run a little below normal for this point in October. We start the day in the low 50s, warming to the mid-70s in the afternoon. Clouds will be hard to come by, though they should begin to increase after midnight. That being said, it should be another solid evening of stargazing in the western sky as Comet Tsuchinshan–ATLAS continues to appear in the night sky after sunset.
We’re back on the temperature rollercoaster this week as a front moves by on Tuesday, which will usher in the coolest airmass thus far this season for mid-week. (Certainly a far cry from watching another tropical system, that’s for sure.)
First, though, we have one more day in the 80s before the front gets through. It’ll be the warmest day of the week, starting around 60° and warming to the mid-80s in the afternoon. We’ll get within spitting distance of the record high of 88° set in 1943 and 1990, but we should stay below that mark. Much like Sunday, expect another day of unfettered sunshine on Monday.
The front moves by Tuesday with a little more in the way of cloud cover but little else. That will cool highs off to the mid-70s, roughly 10° or so cooler than Monday. We really feel the cooler airmass on Wednesday, though, as temperatures fall to the upper 40s in the morning, only reaching the mid-60s in the afternoon. Thursday runs even cooler in the morning, with mid-40s reaching back to the mid-60s once again. No rain’s expected with this frontal passage, and we’ll see primarily sunshine more than anything else.
After one more start in the mid-40s, a warming trend commences Friday as highs climb back to the low 70s. Saturday will run a little warmer, with highs in the mid-70s, and we’ll run even a click warmer on Sunday as well, with plenty of sunshine throughout.
Clouds will increase on Wednesday as Hurricane Milton draws closer to landfall in Florida. We’ll see a decent northeasterly breeze during the day, but nothing unmanageable, and we’ll stay out of the rain, too. The day starts on a fairly cool note with lows in the low 60s, and we’ll warm to the upper 70s in the afternoon, tempered by the northeasterly winds and the increasing cloud cover. There will be a chance for some minor coastal flooding a couple hours around the 12:41 PM high tide, and a Coastal Flood Advisory is possible.
Quiet and warm weather continues Tuesday as we continue to monitor Hurricane Milton in the Gulf of Mexico for possible peripheral impacts on the Lowcountry as we get into Wednesday night and Thursday. Expect a comfortable start in the mid-60s on Tuesday, with temperatures warming to the low-to-mid-80s in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies (though clouds will be increasing as the day goes on). Northeast winds will generally run 10-15 MPH across the metro.
Quiet weather is expected this weekend as high pressure remains in control. Friday’s occasional showers will be a thing of the past on Saturday as cloud cover gradually thins throughout the day. We start Saturday in the upper 60s, warming to the mid-80s in the afternoon.
More sunshine is in the offing for Sunday as a trough of low pressure aloft moves out and a little bit of ridging moves in. We start the day a touch cooler, generally in the mid-to-upper 60s, warming once again to the mid-80s in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies.
The next front, which arrives with little fanfare on Monday, should finally bring a shot of more fall-like air into the area for next week, with lows possibly dipping into the 50s by next Thursday. Overall, the outlook is for generally quiet and dry weather for at least the next several days.
Not terribly much to write home about in the weather department this weekend as our weather looks generally quiet with above-normal temperatures expected. A bit more cloud cover works into the area Friday, with a stray shower possible at the coast in the morning. Otherwise, we stay rain-free for the foreseeable future as dry air aloft keeps a lid on shower activity. Temperatures on Friday start in the mid-60s, warming to the low-to-mid-80s in the afternoon.
Saturday runs a little warmer ahead of a weak front that’ll pass by with relatively little fanfare. A mix of sun and clouds is expected throughout the day, but once again, shower activity should be suppressed this far north. We start the day near 70°, warming to the mid-80s in the afternoon, likely a couple clicks higher than we will on Friday.
Post-frontal skies on Sunday will trend a little sunnier, with morning lows in the upper 60s warming to the low 80s in the afternoon. All in all, the next few days look pretty alright weather-wise.
We’ll get October off to a warm but somewhat cloudy start before a cold front starts to regulate temperatures a bit more beginning Wednesday. We start the day rather mild for this time of year once again, with low 70s generally across the metro (and warmer toward the coast). Cloud cover does persist, but despite that, we’ll still warm into the upper 80s. Rain is not expected.
There’s not too terribly much to write home about in this week’s forecast so far, which is a fine departure from this point last week when we were looking at the genesis of what would become Hurricane Helene. We close September on a warm note, but a cooling trend begins to kick in by mid-week, with a few showers and thunderstorms — and much cooler conditions — possible by the weekend.
Category 4 Hurricane Helene continues to push toward a landfall in Florida this evening, intensifying rapidly as it does so. Here at home in the Lowcountry, we have been dealing with a fair bit of rain for much of the day, though the severe weather to this point has avoided the Tri-County. That may run out soon, though, as more rain bands develop and move ashore as we get into tonight and the overnight hours.
