Showers will move into the area overnight and persist into a good chunk of Wednesday as a cold front moves by. We start Wednesday in the mid-60s, warming to the mid-70s in the afternoon. Showers should scour out by early evening, and from there, cooler and drier air will begin to work into the area. The airmass change will be very noticeable this go-around; we’ll start Thursday in the mid-40s, warming to the low-to-mid-60s in the afternoon at best. Friday will be even cooler, with lows in the low 40s warming to just the upper 50s in the afternoon despite full sunshine, roughly 10° below the normal temperature for November 22 and more reminiscent of normal highs for early January!

Cool high pressure will be in control this weekend, and we will get a taste of more seasonable conditions for mid-November than we’ve had thus far this month.

First, though, there is the potential for major coastal flooding for the second time in three days with Saturday morning’s high tide, which is predicted around 7:46am. Water levels in Charleston Harbor are projected to peak between 8.1-8.3′ MLLW with this tide, and this will cause numerous road closures throughout downtown Charleston, as well as flooding issues on Isle of Palms, Mt. Pleasant, and perhaps even parts of James Island. Be vigilant and be ready to reroute in case you encounter a flooded road. A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect between 6-10am, and if trends continue, expect this to be upgraded to a Coastal Flood Warning. Also, if the predicted forecast height of 8.2′ comes to pass, it’d be a top-25 tide on record at Charleston Harbor.

Water levels should diminish by mid-morning, and from there, a fairly nice Saturday commences. Expect quite a bit of sunshine, with temperatures warming from the mid-40s in the morning to the upper 60s in the afternoon, just about right on target for normal for this point in the year. Sunday should turn a touch warmer, but a high of 70° is just a teeny bit warmer than normal, so that seasonable feel will continue. Unfortunately, another round of moderate to major coastal flooding is possible with Sunday morning’s high tide, though it should not be as severe as Saturday’s.

From there, a warming trend commences for the first half of the week before a mid-week front. The second half of next week looks much cooler than normal, with highs possibly not making it out of the 50s next Thursday! But let’s enjoy the weekend first.

A cold front will sag southward over the area overnight, taking the edge off some of this very unseasonable warmth (which included tying the record high of 85° at the airport today). We’ll still stay warmer than normal this weekend, though, as a more substantial airmass change remains largely out of reach for now.

Saturday starts in the mid-60s as high pressure pushes south into the area. Northeasterly winds will kick up a touch, and this will help keep temperatures from getting too far beyond the mid-70s in the afternoon despite a good bit of sunshine. It’ll be noticeably drier, too: the absurd-for-November 70s dewpoints get shunted southward in favor of drier air characterized by dewpoints in the upper 50s.

The reprieve is somewhat short-lived, though, as the parent high heads offshore, allowing a coastal trough to sharpen and move ashore Sunday. We start Sunday around 60°, but will warm back into the upper 70s in the afternoon with increasing cloud cover along with dewpoints heading back into the mid-60s. A shower or two will be possible as we head into Sunday evening, and that risk will hang around through Tuesday.

Looking ahead, we see next week continuing to generally feature above-normal temperatures for the first half, but a front should swing through late week that will knock temperatures back closer to November normals in time for the weekend.

Unseasonable warmth continues on Saturday ahead of a front that will move south across the area late in the day. As has been the case the past few days, there will be a decent mix of cloud cover with sunshine at times as well. A stray shower can’t be totally discounted, but much of us should stay rain-free as the drought continues. Lows on Saturday start in the low 60s, warming to the low 80s in the afternoon.

Sunday runs a little cooler as high pressure wedges southward. We start the day around 60° and warm to the mid-70s in the afternoon — still above normal, but not quite as above-normal as we’ve seen temperatures go recently. A mix of clouds and sun continues to be expected, and a stray shower is still not totally out of the question. Measurable rainfall looks highly unlikely, though.

Finally, don’t forget: we fall back to Standard Time early Sunday morning. Take Saturday evening to move the manual clocks backwards, check the batteries in your smoke detector, and maybe give your NOAA Weather Radio a once-over, too.

We’ll look to approach a record high on Saturday before a cold front swings through Sunday, cooling us off a bit and increasing cloud cover. (A shower or two may not be out of the question, either.)

High pressure at the surface and aloft hangs on for one more day on Saturday. We start the day in the mid-50s, but compressional heating ahead of the aforementioned front will help drive temperatures into the mid-80s. The record high of 87°, set in 1939, may be achievable at North Charleston, so we’ll keep an eye on this. A few clouds are possible, but sunshine should be the dominant feature once again.

Sunday will feature more clouds than we’ve seen in a while as the ridge moves out and a trough moves in overhead, driving a backdoor front through the region. We start around 60°, but only warm to 74° in the afternoon as winds shift northeasterly. Model guidance still does not totally rule out a shower or two across the Tri-County on Sunday, but most of us should expect the day to stay rain-free. Any rain that falls would be largely insignificant, too, perhaps in the hundredths of inches at best, so definitely not anything to get your hopes up over (if rain’s what you’re looking for, anyway).

Heading into next week, we stay cool for Monday but start to warm up again on Tuesday and beyond. Halloween will be on the warm side with lows in the low 60s warming to around 80° in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. Alas, no sweater weather is in the foreseeable future as we head into November.

We have an outstanding weekend of weather ahead as high pressure remains in control. After our first low in the 40s Friday morning, Saturday starts back in the upper 40s once more, but winds will start to swing around to the south and that will begin to help moderate the airmass a bit. Expect just a few passing clouds Saturday afternoon, but otherwise, lots of sunshine will be the rule.

Sunday will be a warmer day. We start the day in the mid-50s, warming back into the low 80s in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. It’ll be a very comfortable low 80s, though, as humidity will be a non-factor with dewpoints in the mid-50s.

I hope you get a chance to enjoy this wonderful weekend of weather!

Quiet weather is expected this weekend as high pressure remains in control. Friday’s occasional showers will be a thing of the past on Saturday as cloud cover gradually thins throughout the day. We start Saturday in the upper 60s, warming to the mid-80s in the afternoon.

More sunshine is in the offing for Sunday as a trough of low pressure aloft moves out and a little bit of ridging moves in. We start the day a touch cooler, generally in the mid-to-upper 60s, warming once again to the mid-80s in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies.

The next front, which arrives with little fanfare on Monday, should finally bring a shot of more fall-like air into the area for next week, with lows possibly dipping into the 50s by next Thursday. Overall, the outlook is for generally quiet and dry weather for at least the next several days.

Quieter weather is in store for this weekend (though one could argue the bar is very low for that) in the wake of Helene. It’ll stay warm and muggy, though, as we head down the home stretch of September.

Saturday starts in the upper 60s to around 70°, warming to the mid-80s in the afternoon as a brief shot of cooler and drier air gets us off to a relatively cooler start. It’ll still feel closer to 90°, though, when factoring in dewpoints around 70-71°. The airmass modifies quickly, though, and by Sunday, we’ve got a late summer-ish day with lows in the low 70s warming to the upper 80s that’ll feel more like the mid-90s in the afternoon.

We have a few more days of the muggy airmass before another front sweeps through for the middle of next week, cooling us off pretty nicely as we head through the first week of October.

It’ll be a quiet, bright, sunny, and warm weekend in the Lowcountry, with a bit of a callback to summer despite the onset of the autumnal equinox on Sunday.

We start Saturday in the upper 60s, warming to the mid-to-upper 80s in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies as ridging aloft builds in. That ridge gets even a bit stronger for Sunday, and could send highs to around 90° for the first time since September 1, when we reached 91°.

The only real fly in the ointment weather-wise won’t even necessarily be all driven by weather, but rather by high astronomical tides thanks to the recent full moon. Water levels in Charleston Harbor look to peak well into moderate, but just shy of major, flood stage (7.9’) around the 11:14am high tide. As a result, get ready for more road closures like we saw mid-morning on Friday. Sunday should offer similar tide concerns around the midday high tide. Keep an eye out for Coastal Flood Advisories from the National Weather Service.

A complex forecast lies ahead this weekend as we monitor for the potential for low pressure to spin up off the coast, which has a shot at potentially becoming tropical as it approaches the coast early next week.