A couple more warm days lie ahead before the coldest airmass of the season crashes into the area next week. Saturday will generally feature temperatures in the upper 70s after starting the day near 60°. We’ll keep a few clouds around, but the risk for any rainfall should be very low.
A strong front approaches the area Sunday, and there’s a chance that some showers and maybe a thunderstorm could move through in advance, but the risk will be diminishing as the front pushes eastward as moisture doesn’t look to be in abundance. Temperatures Sunday peak near 80° after starting in the low 60s.
November will get off to a sunny and somewhat chilly start as lows head into the low 40s for the first time since late March with clear skies and calmer winds letting things cool off a little more than Thursday night. We’ll then warm to the upper 60s in the afternoon with plenty of sunshine to be had as high pressure slides overhead.
After the coolest day since late February — the high at the airport only peaked around 57° — we’ll turn warmer on Wednesday as an approaching cold front scours out the wedge of high pressure that brought us a dreary, drizzly Tuesday. We’ll start Hump Day around 50° under mostly cloudy skies once again. A warm front lifting northward will push through the area later in the afternoon, and it’s that warm front along with some breaks in the cloud cover which will help us warm to the mid-to-upper 60s later in the day. Shower chances will return in the evening through the overnight as a band of rain ahead of the cold front moves by.
Showers should depart by the time most of us get Thursday underway. We’ll start in the upper 40s to around 50° once again, warming to the mid-60s in the afternoon with much more in the way of sunshine than we’ve seen so far this week. Clearer skies overnight Thursday will allow Halloween to start a little cooler, generally in the mid-40s in the metro (with lower temperatures possible further inland as well as in some more rural areas). Unfettered sunshine will send temperatures in the mid-to-upper 60s in the afternoon. Trick-or-treaters and their accompanying guardians (where applicable) should expect temperatures to fall into the 50s around and after sunset.
Generally speaking, we can expect good weather this weekend (especially on Saturday) with a wedge of high pressure building southward through the Carolinas into Georgia. This will lead to breezier conditions for the weekend as northeasterly winds kick up, and temperatures will run a couple clicks lower with cooler air moving in at the surface. Moisture will also start to overrun the wedge, and that will bring a gradual increase in dewpoints and cloud cover as low pressure develops in the Gulf. This low pressure system may bring us some showers later Sunday, and look to make for a soggy Monday.
Saturday’s lows will once again begin in the upper 40s (with some mid-40s inland), warming to the low 70s in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies. Cloud cover will continue to thicken on Sunday as moisture return continues; this will lead to a warmer start in the mid-50s before highs peak around 70-71° once again under mostly cloudy skies. Showers and maybe even some rumbles of thunder will be possible beginning Sunday evening, so keep that in mind as you make your weekend plans.
The nor’easter that drove the highest tide of the year on Friday will continue to affect our weather Saturday and to a lesser degree on Sunday. Showers will continue overnight through much of the day on Saturday, and gusts will continue to head into the 25-30 MPH range especially near the coast and on bridges and overpasses. Temperatures remain on the cool side as well, with lows in the low 60s warming to just about 70° at best in the afternoon.
We will also be contending with the risk for moderate coastal flooding once again with the midday high tide. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 10 AM-2 PM as a result. While this tide will certainly be less severe than we saw on Friday, it’ll still be high enough to close plenty of roads downtown right smack in the middle of the day. Be ready to reroute around road closures as a result.
We’ll see the nor’easter gradually pull away Sunday, though some showers look to persist. Temperatures will still be cooler than normal, with lows in the low 60s warming to the low-to-mid-70s in the afternoon with a little bit more sun breaking through. Winds will be backing off, and this will help mitigate a more serious coastal flooding threat during the day, though we should still see minor to moderate flooding with the early afternoon high tide that could close a few roads.
This will lead into a quieter and sunnier week ahead with high pressure in control. Humidity will be low and temperatures will be comfortably warm, with highs in the upper 70s to around 80° each afternoon.
A decent weekend of weather awaits. While Saturday is the pick day of the weekend, if you are okay with dodging some showers, Sunday doesn’t look terrible, either. Generally speaking, we can expect highs in the low 80s each afternoon after lows in the mid-60s on Saturday and upper 60s to around 70° on Sunday. Breezy northeasterly to easterly winds will continue with high pressure still wedged southward across the area, though that high will begin to give way on Sunday and send rain chances up a little bit as a result. Can’t rule out some thunder, either, though that looks relatively unlikely.
We will need to watch times of high tide for minor to moderate coastal flooding as we approach the full moon next week. The continued onshore flow will help to drive water levels higher on top of already high astronomical tides, which should reach heights that will close some roads downtown. Be alert for possible Coastal Flood Advisories from the National Weather Service.
A slow-moving cold front combined with a stalling upper-level low will help spread rain further into the metro for the weekend, especially on Saturday, as we continue to monitor the progress of now-Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine.
After record-breaking rainfall on Friday, more heavy rain appears likely for Saturday and to a lesser extent on Sunday as waves of low pressure along a stalled front continue to traverse the area, which has been well-moistened by an influx of tropical air.
More storms are in the offing for Saturday as a front slides southward across the area, eventually stalling out across Georgia. This front, though, brings us a slightly cooler and drier airmass that filters into the area starting Sunday.
Cooler-than-normal temperatures continue this weekend, but the cost is continued rounds of showers and thunderstorms as moisture overruns a stationary front to the south and a trough of low pressure develops aloft.