We get a good break from the gray skies on Saturday as we find ourselves between storm systems. The lull will bring us a nice, seasonable day, with lows in the mid-40s followed by highs in the mid-to-upper 60s, right in the ballpark for where we should be at this point in the year. The only fly in the ointment will be the risk for minor to moderate salt water flooding around the 9:29am high tide.
Clouds build back up Saturday evening as the next storm system makes its approach to give us another round of rain for Sunday. A warm front will lift north across the area throughout the day, allowing temperatures to top out in the mid-70s despite showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two in the area. The best chance for rain will be in the morning through the early afternoon hours. Expect the front to get through by evening, which will shut off the rain and dry out the air. Winds will be a little breezy with sustained winds approaching 20 MPH with higher gusts.
Sunday will mark the end of this king tide cycle, with minor flooding possible with the 10:28am high tide. A few downpours will be possible with the storm system moving by on Sunday, and we’ll want to watch for any to coincide with the mid-morning high tide.
Improving weather returns to start the new work week; the next shower chance will be mid-week, followed by seasonable temperatures to start December.
We have another chilly night in store across the metro area, as another round of frosty conditions may be possible tomorrow morning with temperatures reaching freezing in a few more sheltered and rural areas. Once again, bring pets and plants in to keep them safe from the cold.
We’ll see increasing cloud cover on Saturday as high and mid-level clouds filter into the area, but we should remain rain-free as temperatures struggle to 60° in the afternoon (we reached 59° on Friday with full sunshine, FWIW). A front will get by Saturday night into early Sunday; while we’ll start Sunday in the mid-40s — roughly 11° higher than forecast for Saturday morning — highs will once again struggle back to the mid-50s with cloud cover and cool advection ongoing.
Aside from maybe a sprinkle or two Saturday evening, the weekend looks rain-free. We keep this rain-free weather going until late Tuesday into early Wednesday, with a slight shower chance on Thanksgiving. Temperatures next week will warm back into the low-to-mid-60s, still a few clicks below normal for this point in the year.
It’s a tale of two air masses this weekend: The warm, still somewhat humid Saturday giving way to the winter-like, much cooler and drier day on Sunday. Nicole’s legacy will hang around one more day in the form of the somewhat modified tropical airmass; while dewpoints will be lower than they have been the past couple days, mid-60s dews are still pretty moist for this time of the year. We’ll see a mix of sun and clouds ahead of a cold front — oh, the cold front — that will pass by rain-free on Saturday night.
Sunday’s going to be a completely different animal as cold Canadian air rushes into the area. Lows will bottom out in the mid-50s on Sunday, but despite nearly full sunshine, the cold air advecting in will keep highs only in the low 60s. Sunday night into Monday will be a much different story, with lows potentially dipping into the upper 30s in spots — will need to keep an eye out on frost potential for Monday morning.
Next rain chance arrives with a reinforcing shot of cold air on Tuesday into Wednesday; we’ll close next week unable to get temperatures above 60°, it looks like. Bottom line: Sweater weather fans, time to shine!
The weekend forecast will generally run on the cool side, particularly on Saturday, with a few showers possible at times. High pressure remains wedged into the area, and moisture trapped beneath the wedge inversion aloft will keep cloud cover and a few light showers in the forecast. Much like Friday, highs will likely not exceed 70° with the lack of insolation and cool northeasterly winds continuing to reinforce the wedge.
We should see a little bit more sunshine — and a little more warmth as a result — on Sunday as the wedge begins to erode. Still, a few showers will be possible at times, and one should not 100% trust the wedge to erode when it is supposed to.
Overall, you’ll want to have a hoodie or light jacket both days, and be ready to evade a few light showers, but it won’t be enough to cause major problems.
Really not much to write home about weather-wise this weekend: Seasonable weather is in store for the weekend with passing clouds from time to time. Saturday gets us off to a cool start with lows bottoming out in the mid-40s before highs recover to the mid-70s with passing clouds. Sunday gets off to a slightly warmer start in the mid-50s as highs warm back into the mid-70s in the afternoon with a little more sunshine. All in all, no concerns — get out and enjoy!
There’s not much else to say about this forecast than to try to get outside this weekend, because it looks absolutely stellar. Saturday’s low around 50° will be very worthy of longer sleeves to start, but you’ll be able to jettison those by midday as highs head to around 80° in the afternoon. We’ll run a click warmer on Sunday as winds go a little more southwesterly, but it’ll otherwise be very close to what we’ll experience on Saturday. I hope you enjoy!
We have a calm and comfortably warm weekend of weather ahead, which will help aid recovery efforts after the lashing Ian gave our area on Friday. We’ll have very seasonally appropriate starts to each day, with lows in the mid-50s on Saturday and lows in the upper 50s on Sunday, followed by highs getting into the upper 70s in the afternoon. Dewpoints will be comfortable, generally running in the upper 50s to low 60s.
There’s been some concerns about lingering tidal effects from Ian today, but offshore flow will keep us well out of jeopardy of broaching any coastal flood thresholds over the next several days. The only lingering effect will be a moderate risk of rip currents through the weekend, so be aware of this if you’re thinking of getting into the Atlantic waters.
Overall, aside from a slight chance of a shower on Monday, we have several days to dry out to start October. This will be quite beneficial — recovering from a storm can be difficult, especially if you have sustained damage, and the last thing you want is more bad weather on top.
High pressure will dominate the pattern this weekend, bringing us excellent weather for outdoor activities.
Saturday will start out as cool as it’s been since mid-May, with lows expected to bottom out in the mid-50s away from the locally warmer coast. Cloud-free skies should persist for much of the day as temperatures head to the low 80s in the afternoon. Winds will be down compared to what we saw Friday, too, which should make it a little easier to enjoy a meal outdoors with a lower risk of unintentional napkin aviation.
High pressure will begin to slip offshore Saturday night into Sunday, and this will make Sunday’s start feel about 5-10° warmer on average across the area with lows bottoming out around the mid-60s. Mostly sunny skies will persist, though, and highs will generally top out in the mid-80s. It’ll be a touch more humid, but certainly not anything tremendously uncomfortable.
The only hazard we’ll need to really be concerned with this weekend is a lingering high risk for rip currents thanks to continued swell from Hurricane Fiona. Inexperienced swimmers should continue to avoid the Atlantic waters this weekend as a result.
We’ve got a pleasant weekend ahead, despite humidity creeping back up for Sunday with the specter of a stray shower or two in the mix.
Saturday’s the pick day, in my view: it’ll be the last day of the lower humidity we’ve been experiencing over the past few days, which will keep that high of 86° feeling like it’s 86°. On Sunday, we’ll see a little bit more in the way of humidity working back into the area as dewpoints creep back up to around 70° in the afternoon, causing that high of 86° to feel closer to 90-91°. A stray shower isn’t out of the question, but the vast majority of us look to stay dry.
The weather pattern remains fairly active heading into the weekend, and there will be a continued risk for tidal flooding around times of high tide. It won’t rain all the time, though.
We enter Saturday with a front draped near the coast. This front will begin to lift northward during the day; this will focus the potential for heavier rain a little more inland than we’ve seen the past couple days. We may have a few showers around in the morning, but expect more robust showers and thunderstorms to initiate in the vicinity of the front by mid-afternoon. As mentioned, these will be on and off storms, and it won’t rain all day. Be flexible with outdoor plans and be ready to head inside at a moment’s notice in case storms threaten. Temperatures will head into the mid-80s ahead of showers and storms as we get on the warmer side of the front.
We’ll start to see some changes in the upper-air configuration on Sunday as the cutoff low starts to open up and lift out as a trough comes out of the central US. The moisture tap will remain wide open, and with the additional energy from the trough, we should see on and off showers and thunderstorms particularly in the afternoon and evening hours. Heavy rain remains a chief concern as precipitable water values range from 2-2.2″. Temperatures will run in the mid-80s once again ahead of any showers and storms.
We will still be contending with the risk for tidal flooding around times of high tide. Minor flooding will be possible Saturday morning around 7-11am, while moderate flooding will become a possibility Saturday evening around 7-11pm. Another couple rounds of minor flooding will be possible again with Sunday’s high tides, though we’ll see less severity with those overall as winds start to lose some of that more easterly onshore component.
@chswx is community-supported, hype-averse weather information, preparedness tips, and alerts for the Charleston, SC Tri-County area (Berkeley, Charleston, Dorchester counties) by Jared Smith.