This weekend, while not completely clear of rain chances, doesn’t look half bad. Guidance trends toward a drier weekend have continued today, and it looks like we get just a few showers on Saturday and then partly cloudy skies on Sunday. High pressure moving offshore will pump in warmer and more moist air, leading to the shower potential Saturday. Highs top out only in the upper 70s, though, due to a decent amount of cloud cover throughout the day. We’ll see that cloud cover begin to break heading into the evening, though, and it should be a fairly nice end of the day.
Partly cloudy skies will be the rule Sunday. We’ll start the day in the low-to-mid-60s — much warmer than we’ve felt recently — and highs will top out in the low 80s in the afternoon. Dewpoints will be higher than they have been, but it’ll still be fairly comfortable at peak heating with relative humidity values below 50%. Overall, not the best weekend we’ve had, but not the worst, either. Even still, though, it looks likely that we will continue the streak of weekends with measurable rainfall dating back to early February.
Saturday looks to be a fairly warm and muggy day — a tiny sliver of a summer preview — as we start the day in the mid-60s and top out in the mid-80s in the afternoon. We’ll stay rain-free for much of the day before a cold front and an accompanying upper low starts to get closer to the area. Shower and thunderstorm chances will subsequently increase, and a strong to severe storm isn’t totally off the table later Saturday given sufficient shear. Some heavy rain will be possible overnight and into early Sunday morning as well, with local amounts possibly exceeding an inch of rain before it’s over.
Showers and storms look to be ongoing as we head into Sunday morning, but will taper off as the day goes on as low pressure lifts northeast and the aforementioned cold front moves through. By Sunday evening, we should be largely rain-free and cooling off as a drier airmass builds into the area post-frontal passage. Highs top out around 80° in the afternoon. Winds will be elevated, with gusts 25-30 MPH possible particularly as we get into the afternoon hours as the mixed layer rises to around 6,000 feet, tapping into a decently strong low-level jet, which will hang around for the subsequent few days to provide a gusty start to May.
A cold front will affect the area this weekend, bringing showers and a few thunderstorms to the area on Saturday before a beautiful Sunday.
Two rounds of precipitation are possible Saturday. The first round could arrive in the morning from offshore, bringing showers and maybe a thunderstorm to the area through mid-morning. It then appears probable that we’ll see a break in the rain for a few hours before the cold front approaches the area later in the afternoon, which will bring the risk for another round of showers and a few thunderstorms. We’ll want to see how many breaks in the clouds can develop midday Saturday, as that’ll have impacts on how much the atmosphere can destabilize. Depending on how unstable things get, we could see a few stronger storms with gusty winds and hail. Wait and see, but be ready for thunderstorms if you have outdoor activities — remember, every thunderstorm is dangerous because of lightning. Highs on Saturday top out in the low 80s after a very warm start in the mid-60s.
The cold front gets through later Saturday, and will yield a beautiful Sunday. We start Sunday in the low 50s before northwest flow drives dewpoints down and temperatures up to the upper 70s in the afternoon. We’ll see a few clouds at most, and it’ll be a great day to get out and about.
Quiet weather continues through the end of the work week. Wednesday will run quite a bit warmer than the past couple days as stacked high pressure settles in right over the Carolinas. Surface high pressure will slip into the Atlantic during the day Wednesday, turning winds a little more southerly and allowing temperatures to rise well into the mid-80s. The aforementioned high pressure will keep cloud cover to an absolute minimum, much like we saw on Tuesday.
Warm weather continues this weekend, with a break in the rain coming Saturday as we’ll sit in-between storm systems. Highs on Saturday peak in the mid-80s after starting in the low 60s, several degrees above normal for mid-April. If you’re headed to High Water, make sure you’re applying sunscreen as the UV index will peak around 9, in the Very High category.
A cold front will approach the area Sunday, bringing with it the risk for some scattered showers and thunderstorms. Guidance is still somewhat mixed on the exact onset of these storms, but expect the best chance for a few thunderstorms in the afternoon and early evening. There is a small risk for a storm or two to produce damaging straight-line winds and some hail. Remember, though: Lightning makes every thunderstorm dangerous. When thunder roars, go indoors! Outside of storms, expect highs to once again top out in the mid-80s.
The front passes by late Sunday/early Monday, and the cooler and drier airmass behind it will bring us a pretty brilliant stretch of weather for the beginning of the work week. But let’s not think about the new work week yet if we can help it. 🙂
Well, this certainly will not go down as one of the better Easter weekends, weather-wise, as high pressure wedging into the area keeps temperatures well below normal for this point in the year while also keeping showers a prevalent part of the forecast. Don’t count on much, if any, sun on Saturday as scattered showers in the morning and early afternoon turn more steady heading into the later afternoon and evening hours. Temperatures really won’t move much — we’ll start around 51° and only head up to about 54° as a chilly northeast breeze and the rain reinforce the cold air damming regime that’ll be in place.
Showers will continue well into Sunday, but will gradually become a little more scattered as the plume of deeper moisture shunts offshore. The wedge will remain in place, but a somewhat thinner cloud deck and less rainfall should allow temperatures a fighting chance to approach 60° in the afternoon. It’ll be quite breezy — winds will generally run about 20 MPH with higher gusts, especially near the coast. Regardless, you’ll need rain gear for Easter sunrise services.
A cold front will be working its way eastward into the metro area throughout the day Saturday, but its associated rainfall will arrive in the late afternoon and early evening, sparing the Bridge Run. It’ll be windy; gusts 30-35 MPH will be possible especially heading into the early afternoon, and this may contribute a bit of a headwind at times during the race. After starting in the mid-60s, temperatures should head into the low 80s in the afternoon ahead of the cold front.
A line of showers and thunderstorms will precede the cold front. It should be losing some steam with the bulk of the energy staying well north, but there is ample wind shear and should be enough instability for a few of these storms to be on the stronger side with wind damage the main concern. Some hail and even a tornado can’t be totally discounted, either, so you’ll want to make sure you have ways to get warnings tomorrow. These look to get into western parts of the Tri-County in the 3-5 PM timeframe, pressing off the coast by 6-7 PM with showers to fall for a little while afterward.
Once the front is through, cooler and drier air works its way into the area. Overall, Sunday should run about 10° cooler than Saturday with a lot more sunshine. It’ll be the pick day of the weekend for outdoor activities with comfortable warmth and low humidity.
We stay warm this weekend despite a weak front that’ll move in Saturday and stall out across the area. Highs each afternoon will peak in the low to mid-80s, with lows solidly in the low-to-mid-60s.
The aforementioned front will be the focal point for increasingly unsettled weather. As the front approaches Saturday, scattered showers and thunderstorms — a couple of which may be on the strong side — will be possible primarily in the afternoon through early evening. Outside of thunderstorms, winds will be gusty at times, with gusts approaching 30 MPH especially on higher bridges.
Sunday starts on a dry note, but as the afternoon progresses, the lingering front will act as a focal point for developing additional showers and maybe a few thunderstorms. Rain chances will last well into Monday and Tuesday before the front is shoved out of here by high pressure. Still, expect highs to climb into the mid-80s.
Bottom line for this weekend: No total washout expected, but you’ll want to keep an eye to the sky if you’re outdoors.
First off: If you’re heading out tonight, expect the rain to stay away from Charleston proper until around midnight. It may begin to rain earlier the further inland you are, though, so keep rain gear handy just in case.
A cold front will come through the area early Saturday, putting an end to the brief warmup that closed out the work week. Lows will run in the mid-50s, but highs will only top out in the low to mid-60s in the afternoon. The bulk of the rain falls overnight, but scattered showers — and perhaps an embedded downpour or two — will remain possible through mid-afternoon, it looks like. A shower may not be completely out of the picture into the evening hours. With that in mind, I don’t see tomorrow as a total rainout — suspect most of us will get a fair bit of rain-free time in.
Sunday will be much cooler as high pressure continues to build in from the west. Despite more sunshine, highs will struggle to 60° as cool air continues to blow into the area from the north, with wind speeds generally around 5-10 MPH.
If it weren’t for the pollen, I’d unequivocally endorse this weekend as a great one to get out and about. Once a cold front and its associated thin line of showers clears the area overnight, skies will clear and give us a brilliant couple days. We start Saturday in the mid-60s as some of the slightly cooler and drier air lags a bit, but we’ll see dewpoints mix out nicely as the day goes on, allowing for a comfortably warm day as temperatures approach 80° but with less humidity than the past few days.
A secondary cold front will come through overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning. It will be starved of moisture, so a dry passage is expected. The airmass behind this front is more noticeably cooler and drier. You’ll certainly feel the difference when we start Sunday around 50° — the coolest start to a day since the temperature bottomed out at 48° on February 20 — and only see temperatures rise into the low-to-mid 70s in the afternoon despite pristine skies. We’ll see some occasionally breezy conditions both days, but other than that, really nice weather is in store with a little more seasonable feel on the way.
