Overall, we’ve got a pretty nice week ahead with temperatures running generally below normal and only one passing rain chance on Friday.

A trough moving by overnight Sunday into Monday could bring a few showers early Monday morning, but those will be done by daybreak, and we should see a partly cloudy day with highs topping out only in the mid-to-upper 60s, some 10° below normal for this point in the year. (Might be a little taste of sweater weather?) We start Tuesday in the upper 40s with highs once again peaking shy of 70° with more sunshine expected. We have a similarly cool start Wednesday but with unfettered sunshine, expect highs to top out in the low 70s. Thursday runs a little warmer with lows starting in the low 50s and highs in the mid-70s with a little bit more in the way of cloud cover (but still plenty of sun, too).

Our only real rain chance this week arrives ahead of a cold front on Friday. Generally, expect a scattering of showers in the afternoon and evening ahead of the front, but nothing too outrageous. Highs will run in the mid-70s. Behind the front, a modest cooldown will ensue, but it should be a really nice weekend with lows in the 50s and highs in the low 70s each afternoon.

Tropics: Cabo Verde season putters along

The tropical outlook map is a little off for mid-October. At this point in the year, climatologically speaking, we begin to look closer to home once again for tropical formation, but that’s not really been an issue thus far. Instead, we look further eastward to find Tropical Depression Sean (which probably doesn’t have much longer to go) and another wave, tagged as Invest 94L, with a 70% chance to develop over the next week as it moves toward the Lesser Antilles. 94L is still way out there, but medium-range guidance is pretty consistent in recurving it well away from the United States. The season ends on November 30 — not much more to go. Hang in there.

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