A front at the surface and a trough of low pressure aloft will keep things on the unsettled side heading into Friday and the weekend, with the potential for heavy rain especially Friday and Saturday.

Friday will start in the mid-70s with some coastal showers and thunderstorms likely along the land breeze. As some daytime heating kicks in, we’ll see showers and thunderstorms begin to develop on land once more, with heavy downpours possible as there will be a plume of deep moisture across the area. We’ll need to keep an eye out for possible training of thunderstorms across the same locations, which would enhance the threat for localized flooding where they set up. Keep an ear out for possible Flood Advisories or even Flash Flood Warnings from the National Weather Service. Severe weather is less likely, though a stray damaging wind gust or two can never be totally ruled out due to wet microbursts. Highs should peak around 90° before storms fill in, though some spots may not reach that.

Thunderstorm chances continue to remain elevated for Saturday, though it won’t rain all the time at any one location. Similar to Friday, there is a risk for excessive rainfall that could lead to localized flooding issues. Temperatures will run generally around normal, with low 70s to start the day and upper 80s in the afternoon before thunderstorms fire. It won’t rain all day — rarely does this time of year — but indoor plans are probably the safer bet.

The aforementioned trough lifts out later Saturday into Sunday, and that may help the formerly stalled front through the area, allowing a little drier air in and reducing the overall thunderstorm risk. Still, scattered storms should fire in the afternoon with surface dewpoints continuing to run in the mid-70s and an inland-advancing seabreeze. Highs will peak around 90° once again in the afternoon.

Tropics: Hello, Dolly

Advisories began on Tropical Storm Dolly — a purely coincidental storm name — this morning in the central Atlantic. This was the former Invest 96L that got enough organization to become a tropical storm. It has 40 MPH winds and is moving westward at 24 MPH. It’s probably not going to keep tropical characteristics very long as it encounters strong shear near the Lesser Antilles later this weekend, likely opening up into a wave by Saturday afternoon. The wave will continue westward and may bear watching next week, but there’s still a long way to go. We’ll keep an eye on things, but for now, it’s nothing to be concerned over.

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