We’ll climb back aboard the temperature rollercoaster this weekend as a series of fronts affect the area. The first one, coming through Thursday night into early Friday, will knock temperatures down about 10° or so with highs in the upper 60s expected Friday afternoon with mostly sunny skies. This is just a click on the warm side of normal for February 28, which marks the end of climatological winter.

After reaching 79° on Wednesday, some 13° above normal for this point in the year, we’re back in the mid-to-upper 70s on Thursday but with some increasing cloud cover ahead of an approaching cold front. Moisture ahead of the front won’t be the best, but a few showers will be possible later Thursday into the overnight as it gets by, so be aware for the potential for a little rain. It’ll also be a bit of a breezy day, with winds 15-20 MPH possible out of the southwest particularly in the afternoon.

After hitting 76° on Tuesday — 10° above normal, but still 10° below a record — we’re back to the mid-70s on Wednesday with more sunshine expected. Once again, we’ll start the day in the mid-40s, which is close to normal for February 26, but the forecast high of 76° will once again run 10° above normal.

A cloudy and cool Monday will give way to a much sunnier and warmer Tuesday. After starting in the low 40s, expect highs to peak in the mid-70s in the afternoon, several degrees warmer than the 68° we peaked at on Monday. This is well above normal for the end of February; the normal high for February 25 is 66°.

Climatological winter, which runs from December 1 to February 28 (or 29th, depending on the year) will end on a very spring-like note this week as temperatures head back above normal starting mid-week and beyond (with the exception of Friday, when a front comes by with a minor shot of cooler air).

After a chilly and dreary Thursday where temperatures barely got up to the low 40s, we’ll at least see the sun on Friday. Still, though, it’s going to be very chilly, with lows in the mid-20s and wind chills in the mid-to-upper teens to start the day, warming only to the mid-40s in the afternoon despite that additional sunshine. In fact, we’re in line to break the daily cold high temperature record of 47° set on February 21, 2020 as highs are set to peak just in the mid-40s.

Clouds will thin out throughout the day Thursday as colder and drier air pours into the area from the northwest. We’ll start the day around freezing, warming to just the mid-40s in the afternoon despite the increasingly sunny skies. The last time we had a high temperature this cold was January 24, when the high was only 47° courtesy of 2″ of snow still on the ground from the 1/22 snowstorm. (The record cold high temperature of 39°, set in 2015, will remain intact, thankfully.)

Unsettled weather is expected on Wednesday as a potent storm system brings us a good bit of much-needed rain, particularly in the afternoon into the evening. Lows start in the mid-40s, warming just to the mid-50s in the afternoon owing to the rain-cooled state of play. If you have travels taking you northward into the Midlands and beyond, there’s a risk for some winter weather as well, especially getting into NC and VA where ice and snow will be the rule. There will be too much warm air in our neck of the woods for any winter weather, and I suspect that is probably okay with many of you!

The week ahead will be notable for the return of cooler-than-normal temperatures to the forecast, especially after a mid-week storm system moves by which will send morning lows below freezing for the first time since the mid-January snowstorm.

Sunday will be a very breezy day as a highly dynamic storm system moves across the eastern half of the continental United States. Showers and a few thunderstorms should set up in a line ahead of a cold front which will come through generally between 11am and 1pm, according to NWS. The line of showers and storms could produce damaging wind gusts to 60 MPH, which could prompt some Severe Thunderstorm Warnings for tree damage and possible power outages. Even outside of storms, gusts 40+ MPH will be possible, especially on bridges and overpasses. A Wind Advisory goes into effect overnight through about 5PM.

Rain will be offshore by evening, and winds will die down as the front clears the area. This will set up a much cooler week ahead, with a mid-week secondary front likely to send us back below freezing for the first time since the January snow later in the week.