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Author: Jared Smith

Jared Smith founded @chswx on Twitter in 2008 as an experiment in disseminating weather data through social media. Somehow, it caught on, and he kept doing it.

Tuesday: Another chilly start, but lots of sun

/ February 19, 2024 at 5:54 PM

We have a chilly night ahead as clearing skies and light winds allow for good radiational cooling conditions. This should allow morning lows on Tuesday to reach freezing for the first time since January 22, when we started the day at a frigid 23°. It won’t be quite as cold — freezing temperatures in the metro would be relatively short-lived — but with some light wind in the morning, it’ll feel more like the upper 20s as we get back to regular order after Washington’s Birthday. There will be plenty of sunshine, though, and that’ll help counteract some cooler air continuing to filter into the area, allowing highs to top out in the low 60s once again.

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The week ahead: Starting a bit chilly, but warming up

/ February 18, 2024 at 10:29 PM

After a fairly dreary weekend (and a particularly chilly Sunday), the sun returns for a majority of the upcoming week (with a good-looking weekend on tap, too, for a change). We will stay on the chilly side for a couple more days, though, with lows in the mid-30s greeting us on Monday. Cloud cover will come and go throughout the day as a disturbance moves across the area, but it’ll be too dry at the surface for any rain. Still, there should be enough sun to get us to the low 60s Monday afternoon.

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Weekend forecast: More clouds than not, turning cooler

/ February 16, 2024 at 7:09 PM

This latest stretch of 70°+ weather comes to an end Saturday as a cold front moves through the area. Dry air near the surface will preclude much, if any, rainfall from affecting the area as the front moves by, though a light shower or two can’t be totally discounted. We start the day in the mid-50s before warming to just the mid-60s in the afternoon as the front moves by and we start to cool off.

Clouds struggle to break up post-front on Sunday, but we should see at least a few peeks of sun. Still, it’ll turn much cooler — we start in the low 40s, but will only warm to the mid-50s at best with all the cloud cover around. This chill doesn’t hang around particularly long, though, as we’re back in the 60s on Monday and approaching 70° later next week.

Friday & the weekend: More clouds, then cooling off

/ February 15, 2024 at 10:51 PM

Friday & the weekend will feature more in the way of cloud cover, with a cold front bringing a brief cooldown to the area for Sunday. We’ve got one more day of 70s ahead on Friday, though, despite mostly cloudy skies as moisture increases ahead of the next storm system. Said storm system doesn’t amount to too much here, though, as it’ll primarily keep us overcast with a few stray showers possible on Saturday, but little else as the bulk of the low-level moisture stays to our south. Temperatures on Saturday start on the warm side thanks to the overcast, with lows only bottoming out in the low 50s before warming to the mid-60s in the afternoon. A cold front then sweeps through overnight, leaving us in the low 40s Sunday morning and only warming to about the mid-50s in the afternoon. There will be some peeks of sun through the cloud cover, but clearing in earnest will take place as we get into Monday.

Thursday: Back to the 70s

/ February 14, 2024 at 8:58 PM

We got close to 70° on Wednesday, but we should reach it on Thursday with another day of mostly sunny skies under the influence of high pressure. We start the day around 40° and warm quickly to the upper 60s by midday, and will likely peak in the low 70s during the early part of the afternoon. Winds will shift to the southwest and will pick up a little in the afternoon, with speeds around 10 MPH becoming common later in the day.

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Rest of the work week: Generally quiet, turning warmer — and cloudier

/ February 13, 2024 at 6:26 PM

We’ve got quiet weather for the rest of the work week as high pressure remains in control through Friday. Wednesday will bring another round of nearly uninterrupted sunshine, but will also represent the coldest start to a day for the rest of the week with lows bottoming out in the upper 30s. The sun will help warm us up quite nicely into the mid-60s in the afternoon, a couple clicks above normal for Valentine’s Day.

We turn even warmer on Thursday, albeit with a little bit more in the way of clouds around. Thursday starts in the low 40s and warms to around 70° in the afternoon. A dry cold front will blunt the warming trend on Friday. We start the day in the upper 40s thanks to a little more cloud cover blanketing the area, but highs will be limited to the upper 60s to around 70° under mostly cloudy skies. Still, it should be a nice day.

The next rain chance arrives Saturday as low pressure moving toward the mid-Atlantic states drags a decidedly more wet cold front through the area. High pressure builds in behind it for Sunday, which will briefly cool us off before temperatures rebound to around and slightly above normal values by next Tuesday.

Tuesday: Gusty start to the day as skies clear

/ February 12, 2024 at 7:09 PM

The storm system that’s soaked us on Monday will lift away from the area on Tuesday, clearing us out but also producing a period of gusty winds overnight as high pressure starts to build in from the west. Watch for gusts 30-35 MPH at times, especially on bridges and overpasses, that will affect the area through the morning commute. We should see gusts calm down gradually as the day goes on, thankfully. Clouds will depart and temperatures will warm to the low-to-mid-60s after an upper 40s start, yielding a pleasant and seasonable mid-February day.

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The week ahead: Stormy start, but a lovely mid-week

/ February 11, 2024 at 5:19 PM

The upcoming week will get off to a fairly stormy start on Monday, but we’ll see things calm down and cool off a little bit for a few days before another storm system affects the area over the weekend.

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Sunday: Dry most of the day, but showers should arrive late

/ February 10, 2024 at 7:16 PM

Sunday will be one last warm and largely rain-free day before shower chances arrive in the evening. Temperatures Sunday start in the mid-50s — 10°+ above normal for this point in the year — and head to the mid-70s as warmer and more moist air continues to surge into the area ahead of a storm system approaching from the west. Skies will remain mostly cloudy, though a few breaks in the clouds will still be possible especially in the morning.

By evening, we should start to see some shower activity begin to move in from the west. Guidance increasingly suggests that the best chance for showers Sunday will be found later in the evening and generally inland of 17-A. That being said, it looks like we get much of Sunday in without precipitation; just be ready for some rain as you head to and from any Super Bowl plans you may have.

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Weekend forecast: Unseasonably warm; showers hold off until Sunday evening

/ February 9, 2024 at 10:03 PM

After reaching 72° today, we’ll aim even warmer on Saturday despite persistent cloud cover (don’t worry, the sun will peek through from time to time). We start the day in the low 50s — about 10° warmer than normal for February — before heading solidly into the mid-70s in the afternoon.

Sunday will start even warmer, with lows in the mid-to-upper 50s yielding to highs in the mid-70s in the afternoon. We should get much of the daylight hours in rain-free, but shower chances will be increasing as we get later into the afternoon and especially into the evening. The bulk of this rain falls Monday and could come along with some thunder as well. But let’s not think of Monday if we can help it…enjoy the weekend!