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Author: Jared Smith

Jared Smith founded @chswx on Twitter in 2008 as an experiment in disseminating weather data through social media. In the ensuing decade-and-a-half, @chswx has provided live coverage of tropical cyclones, tornadoes, severe weather, and even a couple bouts of winter weather to the good people of Charleston, SC.

Rest of the work week: Staying warm, turning showery

/ February 7, 2023 at 9:08 PM

We stay in the 70s for the rest of the work week ahead of a storm system that will cool us back off for the weekend. Cloud cover increases Wednesday, but that won’t stop temperatures from heading even warmer than they did Tuesday with highs expected in the mid-70s. Thursday should represent the peak of the warmth, with solid mid-70s expected across the area ahead of the storm system. Showers look to begin late Thursday and will last into Saturday morning, with the main rain event on Friday. Highs will still top out in the low 70s on Friday after starting the day in the low 60s — closer to the average high for February 10 as opposed to the average low. Once the front is through later Friday/early Saturday, temperatures will head back to a little below normal for the weekend.

Tuesday: Chilly start, nice afternoon; turning even warmer to close the work week

/ February 6, 2023 at 7:28 PM

No major weather concerns to write home about for Tuesday. There may be some patches of fog in the morning, but nothing too heinous or concerning (though if you do run into fog, make sure you’re using your low beams and keeping some extra following distance). Otherwise, temperatures around 40° will rise into the upper 60s to around 70° in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies, making for a nice day across the Lowcountry.

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The week ahead: Unseasonable warmth returns

/ February 5, 2023 at 9:52 PM

Unseasonable warmth lies ahead for a good chunk of the upcoming work week before showers, maybe some storms, and then more seasonable temperatures arrive for the weekend.

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Sunday: Showers for a fair bit of the day, then drying late

/ February 4, 2023 at 6:12 PM

Expect to wake up to some showers in the area on Sunday as a coastal trough sharpens and moves ashore. Temperatures will run warmer in the morning thanks to increasing cloud cover, with lows bottoming out in the low 40s (as opposed to the low 30s this morning). High temperatures will approach 60°, several degrees warmer than we felt today (Downtown didn’t even make it into the 50s!). Shower chances look to peak by midday before tapering off later in the day. We’ll close the day with quieter weather and maybe a few peeks of sun before it’s all said and done. About a quarter-inch of rain is expected — nothing terribly out of bounds once again, and still quite useful given ongoing dryness.

The weekend: Sunny Saturday, showery Sunday ahead

/ February 3, 2023 at 7:38 PM

We get off to a very chilly start on Saturday, with many of us dipping into the upper 20s to around 30° in the morning under clear skies. Northeast winds around 10 mph or so will make it feel closer to the low 20s, so you’ll definitely want those layers if you’ve got plans Saturday morning. Despite full sunshine, highs will only top out around 50° given the very chilly airmass in place.

The really chilly weather will not stick around, though. Clouds will start to increase overnight Saturday into Sunday as high pressure slips offshore and a coastal trough sharpens. This trough could trigger some scattered showers for a decent bit of the day on Sunday, though it won’t rain all day in any one location, and showers should come to an end by evening. Temperatures on Sunday will bottom out in the mid-to-upper 30s before warming into the low 60s in the afternoon as some warmer maritime air makes it ashore.

From there, we’ll be back into a warming trend with 70s possible by Wednesday, and our next shower chances look to arrive later Thursday into Friday.

Friday & the weekend: Rain through Friday morning, sun for Saturday, showers return Sunday

/ February 2, 2023 at 10:07 PM

Showers overnight will continue into Friday morning before tapering off in the afternoon. We could see some peeks of sun before Friday’s all said and done, which would be helpful given that highs are only expected to top out in the low 50s. We stay chilly heading into Saturday, with lows in the upper 20s expected across the metro in the morning before temperatures only rebound into the low 50s despite mostly sunny skies. We turn warmer Sunday with highs in the low 60s, but shower chances return in the afternoon as a coastal trough/front sharpens. Overall, if you can deal with some chilly air, Saturday is your best outdoors day, though Sunday morning into early afternoon should be pretty good as well.

Thursday: Turning cooler, cloudier, with showers late

/ February 1, 2023 at 6:03 PM

After a record high downtown (77°, breaking the record of 76° set in 1916 and tied in 1950) and just falling short at the airport (81°), temperatures are turning significantly cooler across the area as a wedge front sinks southward tonight. This will result in mostly cloudy conditions for Thursday, with highs running almost 20° below where they did today. Expect some showers to creep back into the area later in the day, with better rain chances settling in overnight into Friday. (Let’s just hope we don’t get caught in a temporal loop on this Groundhog Day.)

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Rest of the work week: Brief rain respite Wednesday, but showers return ahead of the weekend

/ January 31, 2023 at 10:04 PM

After a soggy couple days, we get a respite from some of the rain on Wednesday as we sit between storm systems and high pressure sinks south across the area. Fog may be an issue in the morning once again, so be ready with the low beams and a little extra time to get where you’re going. Temperatures should peak in the low 70s in the afternoon before cooler high pressure and an associated wedge front press southward across the area later in the day. It remains to be seen just how far south the wedge can get, but expect it to help cool temperatures to around 50° in the morning on Thursday.

I’d consider mid-60s to be a best-case scenario for temperatures on Thursday as it will be highly dependent on the position of the wedge front. It is expected to lift a little more northward as a warm front during the day Thursday with shower chances throughout the day. However, rain chances tick up later in the day into the overnight, and the rain falling into the cool wedge should strengthen it and allow it to sink back into the Lowcountry by evening. We stay wedged in Friday as showers move across the area for a majority of the day ahead of a storm system. It’ll be chilly on Friday, with lows in the upper 40s giving way to highs in the mid-50s at best with rain blanketing the area as low pressure traverses the Gulf Coast and moves across the Florida panhandle, staying south of us and keeping us in the cool sector.

Chilly weather continues into Saturday, though with a much-needed shot of sunshine before another storm system begins to affect the area on Sunday. For now, though, keep the rain gear nearby!

Tuesday: Foggy start, a shower or two, otherwise clouds persist

/ January 30, 2023 at 9:24 PM

We’ve got more gray weather in store for a good bit of Tuesday, but there may be a little reprieve later in the day before showers return to the picture around sunset. We’ll start the day with fog across the area, which may turn a bit dense at times. A shower or two can’t be totally discounted, either. Be ready for some delays on the morning commute as a result.

We will get a break from the rain and fog around midday. There’s a chance we could see some peeks of sun in the afternoon, which would be welcomed. This could help drive temperatures into the upper 60s within a rather humid airmass. Scattered showers may break back out, particularly after sunset.

Bottom line: Keep the rain gear nearby, though you shouldn’t need it as much as you did on Monday.

The week ahead: Unsettled, though we could use the rain

/ January 29, 2023 at 5:31 PM

“Unsettled” is probably the best way to put this week’s forecast as we expect periods of showers throughout the period.

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