As has been true of the pattern for much of 2023 thus far, rain will have long since departed by Monday, which should end up being a rather beautiful day after starting in the upper 30s. Few, if any, clouds are expected as high pressure builds in; highs top out in the mid-60s. Another similarly beautiful, if not slightly warmer, day is on tap for Tuesday as highs approach 70° in the afternoon — really hard to ask much more for Valentine’s Day.
70s return in full force by Wednesday as high pressure moves offshore and winds go back to the south. We’ll see this accompanied by an increase in cloud cover through Thursday ahead of another cold front. Rain returns Friday, but shouldn’t be quite as much as we saw with this past weekend’s storm system, nor will it hang around as long. Cooler high pressure returns for the weekend, with highs in the mid-50s for Saturday but rebounding quickly into the the upper 60s for Sunday. At least it won’t be raining — feels like forever since we had a rain-free weekend!
The weather takes a turn for the unsettled starting tomorrow as a cold front approaches the area from the west. We get one more day in the 70s ahead of this front, but plenty of showers are expected within a solid moisture feed from the Gulf, with the better rain chances arriving in the afternoon. A few thunderstorms can’t be ruled out if instability can materialize particularly later in the afternoon and into the evening, and the wind fields are such that a few stronger storms are possible.
A deep trough coming along with the front will slow down and cut off into an upper low. This is going to help keep the weather quite unsettled into the weekend, particularly Saturday as low pressure develops off the coast. Temperatures will drop into the 50s on Saturday and won’t rise terribly much as the upper low pivots overhead and showers stay in the picture. We stay quite chilly on Sunday as low pressure begins to move northeast, and showers will remain likely for much of the day. Highs top out in the upper 50s.
All in all, this is a weekend best experienced indoors. At least there’s going to be a reasonably super football game on Sunday.
Thursday will be another warm day across the Lowcountry. We’ll start the day with mid-50s and some patches of fog. Heading into the afternoon, highs will top out in the mid-to-upper 70s once again despite more cloud cover than we saw on Wednesday. South winds will be a touch on the breezy side as well. We should get the day in rain-free across much of the area. There’s a small chance that a shower or two could brush the coast in the afternoon, but the bulk of the rain stays away until overnight Thursday into Friday.
We stay in the 70s for the rest of the work week ahead of a storm system that will cool us back off for the weekend. Cloud cover increases Wednesday, but that won’t stop temperatures from heading even warmer than they did Tuesday with highs expected in the mid-70s. Thursday should represent the peak of the warmth, with solid mid-70s expected across the area ahead of the storm system. Showers look to begin late Thursday and will last into Saturday morning, with the main rain event on Friday. Highs will still top out in the low 70s on Friday after starting the day in the low 60s — closer to the average high for February 10 as opposed to the average low. Once the front is through later Friday/early Saturday, temperatures will head back to a little below normal for the weekend.
No major weather concerns to write home about for Tuesday. There may be some patches of fog in the morning, but nothing too heinous or concerning (though if you do run into fog, make sure you’re using your low beams and keeping some extra following distance). Otherwise, temperatures around 40° will rise into the upper 60s to around 70° in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies, making for a nice day across the Lowcountry.
Unseasonable warmth lies ahead for a good chunk of the upcoming work week before showers, maybe some storms, and then more seasonable temperatures arrive for the weekend.
Expect to wake up to some showers in the area on Sunday as a coastal trough sharpens and moves ashore. Temperatures will run warmer in the morning thanks to increasing cloud cover, with lows bottoming out in the low 40s (as opposed to the low 30s this morning). High temperatures will approach 60°, several degrees warmer than we felt today (Downtown didn’t even make it into the 50s!). Shower chances look to peak by midday before tapering off later in the day. We’ll close the day with quieter weather and maybe a few peeks of sun before it’s all said and done. About a quarter-inch of rain is expected — nothing terribly out of bounds once again, and still quite useful given ongoing dryness.
We get off to a very chilly start on Saturday, with many of us dipping into the upper 20s to around 30° in the morning under clear skies. Northeast winds around 10 mph or so will make it feel closer to the low 20s, so you’ll definitely want those layers if you’ve got plans Saturday morning. Despite full sunshine, highs will only top out around 50° given the very chilly airmass in place.
The really chilly weather will not stick around, though. Clouds will start to increase overnight Saturday into Sunday as high pressure slips offshore and a coastal trough sharpens. This trough could trigger some scattered showers for a decent bit of the day on Sunday, though it won’t rain all day in any one location, and showers should come to an end by evening. Temperatures on Sunday will bottom out in the mid-to-upper 30s before warming into the low 60s in the afternoon as some warmer maritime air makes it ashore.
From there, we’ll be back into a warming trend with 70s possible by Wednesday, and our next shower chances look to arrive later Thursday into Friday.
Showers overnight will continue into Friday morning before tapering off in the afternoon. We could see some peeks of sun before Friday’s all said and done, which would be helpful given that highs are only expected to top out in the low 50s. We stay chilly heading into Saturday, with lows in the upper 20s expected across the metro in the morning before temperatures only rebound into the low 50s despite mostly sunny skies. We turn warmer Sunday with highs in the low 60s, but shower chances return in the afternoon as a coastal trough/front sharpens. Overall, if you can deal with some chilly air, Saturday is your best outdoors day, though Sunday morning into early afternoon should be pretty good as well.
