After yesterday turned out to be quite a stunner, we have more good weather in store for today. Temperatures will head into the upper 70s with partly cloudy skies throughout the day. Cloud cover will come and go as debris clouds from showers and storms to our south encroach into the area at times, but we look to remain rain-free.

Our dry stretch of weather likely continues into Tuesday at a minimum. Our best chance of rain this month — and it has been a dry month, with only a trace of rain at the airport so far — may not arrive until later Saturday. More on this later today.

As I mentioned last night, the weekend’s forecast remained a bit fluid and there could still be changes. As time has gone on, we’ve seen a more southward trend to this weekend’s rainfall chances as drier air looks to hold on a little more tightly across the area. Thus, shower chances remain generally low as the target timing for showers generally lies between Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning. Looking at the data coming in right now, it certainly looks like Sunday morning may be the better opportunity for some showers to come through, but rainfall amounts look light.

Temperatures will continue to run a little cooler than normal across the area with more cloud cover than sun, but mid-70s won’t feel too bad, either. All in all, it’s not the best weekend of weather we’ve ever had, but it could be a lot worse, too.

A cold front will be moving through tonight, bringing some cooler air to the area as the front settles south and then stalls out. Cooler, drier air should win out on Friday, keeping us rain-free but only in the low 70s. Waves of low pressure along the front reintroduce rain chances for Saturday, with periods of showers expected through the evening. Depending on how Saturday plays out, we should see a rain-free Sunday with temperatures warming back up a little closer to normal.

Exact timing of any rain on Saturday is going to be difficult to pin down even tomorrow. A lot depends on how showers and thunderstorms transpire along the Gulf Coast during the day Friday into early Saturday. A couple of the variables forecasters will be taking into consideration includes whether moisture transport this far up is disrupted due to thunderstorm activity further south of us as well as how far north the frontal boundary can meander. It’s a tricky one — stay tuned. Indoor backup plans are a good idea for Saturday — we’ll just need radar and sharp attention to observations to determine when you’ll need to enact them.

A cold front will sink into the area during the day on Thursday, cooling us down and kicking off scattered showers across the area from about mid-morning into the evening. It won’t rain all day or all the time, but be ready to don the rain gear as the day goes on. One thing you’ll notice is that we will run a few degrees cooler in the afternoon — this cooldown will persist into next week, but won’t be too heinous.

Rain chances will take a break on Friday before returning to the area on Saturday, which is increasingly looking somewhat wet. Shower chances will persist into the weekend and perhaps into the first part of next week. Temperatures will remain on the cool side of normal throughout.

Wednesday promises one more day of above-normal temperatures before a cold front adjusts temperatures downward for the remainder of the week. We should see plenty of sunshine during the day, though clouds will be on the increase in the afternoon with even a stray shower possible in the evening. WIth gusty winds and low humidity, fire danger could be elevated tomorrow, so please don’t burn if you can help it.

Better rain chances arrive overnight into Thursday as the aforementioned cold front moves through the area. The most striking change will be to high temperatures; after several days in the 80s, we’ll top out in the mid-70s on Thursday and will run even a tad cooler on Friday under mostly cloudy skies.

Clouds will hang around on Friday into the weekend as the front stalls out to the south, with some differing solutions on whether and how much rain could re-enter the picture over the weekend as that front hangs out. Stay tuned to forecast updates as far as how the weekend ultimately plays out.

After a dry cold front swings through tonight, we’ll start Tuesday comfortably cool with lows in the mid-50s. By the afternoon, we’ll be back in the low 80s with low humidity. All in all, another nice Tuesday that you probably wish was a Saturday.

As we get into Wednesday, a cold front will make its approach to the area. We could see a few showers in the evening, but rain chances are generally low (20-30%). Thursday looks mostly dry and about 5-6° cooler with temperatures in the mid-70s. We stay cool and partly cloudy on Friday and into the weekend, with some slight rain chances from Saturday to Monday.

We’ll start out another work week with pretty nice weather in the wake of a cool front (can’t really call it cold with temperatures rebounding into the 80s, but the airmass will at least be drier!) before seeing another front by mid-week potentially bringing some unsettled weather.

Temperatures will start out this week in the 80s on the afternoons and mid-50s to around 60° in the mornings as high pressure moves through the area both at the surface and aloft. After a couple days of tranquil weather, cloud cover will thicken up on Wednesday as a cold front gets closer to the area. A few showers aren’t totally out of the question in the afternoon.

Forecast confidence gets a little iffy as we get into Thursday, with some timing differences in the models — the ECMWF is faster in getting the cold front through, while the GFS is about 12-18 hours slower — and thus invites some questions in when rain will move through the area. Indeed, NWS notes that forecast confidence is pretty low headed into the weekend as model differences persist. So, stay tuned as the details get sorted out, and don’t cancel any plans just yet.

We’re starting out partly cloudy this morning with temperatures approaching, if not surpassing, 70° at most spots as of 10am. A fair bit of today should remain dry, but we will be watching to our west as a cluster of thunderstorms approaches the area. It will be weakening by the time it gets here, but a strong storm or two can’t be ruled out this evening. Stay weather-aware and remember, all thunderstorms, regardless of whether they are classified as severe or not, are dangerous. When thunder roars, go indoors!

Well, as they say, all good things must come to an end, and our stretch of great weather is no exception. We’ll begin to see scattered storm chances enter the weather picture later in the afternoon on Friday and stick around into the weekend as a more moisture-laden airmass takes residence. Temperatures will remain fairly warm each day, with 60s in the morning and highs within a couple degrees either way of 80° in the afternoons.

The good news on the rain chances this weekend is that it doesn’t look like we have a total weekend washout in store. Rain chances will be transient and largely driven day-to-day. My best advice is to plan out your weekend as is, and just ensure that you have indoor activities as a backup. I’d pencil in Saturday as probably the less active of the two weekend days, with decent model agreement that a cold front will be driving through the area Sunday, but we’ll want to take this day by day as things evolve upstream.

So far, it doesn’t look like we’ll have any severe weather concerns this weekend, but be reminded that all thunderstorms are dangerous because of lightning.

All in all, this weekend will be good practice for planning outdoor activities during the summer months! Stay dry and safe and do your best to enjoy!

We continue our weather winning streak on Wednesday as temperatures rise into the mid-80s once again under mostly sunny skies. Humidity will remain on the low side as one more day of dry air persists. As we get into Thursday, though, high pressure will be headed offshore, and the resulting moisture return will allow for cloud cover to thicken back up and humidity to increase a little bit more. By Friday, we’ll have enough moisture in place ahead of a stalling cold front to allow for some showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, with scattered storms remaining in the forecast through the weekend (depending on the progress of the front).