Another day or two of quiet weather is expected as deep-layer dry air remains in place over our part of the world, suppressing thunderstorm development and keeping temperatures a little more in check. Wednesday looks pretty good by July standards, with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low 90s expected. Surface dewpoints in the low 70s should yield a peak heat index around 99°, generally after the seabreeze moves by. Thursday will run a degree or two warmer with a little bit more in the way of cloud cover as moisture starts to tick up somewhat. Peak heat indices should run around 100° during the mid-afternoon hours.

We get back to a more traditional July pattern of afternoon thunderstorms on Friday as more humid air begins to work back into the area. We start the day in the upper 70s and top out in the mid-90s before scattered thunderstorms develop in the afternoon and evening hours along the seabreeze. Heat indices could top out above 105°. We’ll keep this going into the weekend, too, with the potential for advisory-level warmth (heat index 110°+ for two hours) and scattered thunderstorms as the main weather concerns for outdoor activities.

Somewhat drier air (aloft, anyway) moving into the area Tuesday will put an end to the soggy weather for a few days, though an isolated afternoon thunderstorm does remain possible. We start the day in the low 70s — the coolest start to a day since June 28 — before warming into the low 90s in the afternoon. While the drier air will provide for generally partly cloudy skies amidst a somewhat brilliant blue sky, it’ll still be fairly humid at the surface; expect heat indices to peak around 100° in the afternoon as the seabreeze moves by. All in all, though, we should have plenty of sun to help sop up this latest round of heavy rain.

The rest of the work week will remain rather unsettled as very humid air remains in place across the area and impulses continue to ripple aloft.

Hot and humid conditions will continue for the foreseeable future, with abatement coming in the form of seabreeze showers and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening. Temperatures will generally run in the mid-90s on Wednesday and perhaps Thursday, then backing down a little to the low 90s on Friday. Heat indices will continue to run above 105° each afternoon through at least Thursday due to the combination of warm air temperatures and mid-70s dewpoints.

Thunderstorms each afternoon will be capable of very heavy rain in a short period — there were reports of nearly 3” in an hour in a few spots on Tuesday — and excessive lightning. Damaging wind gusts will be possible in the strongest storms, though a widespread severe weather event is not expected.

Finally, we’ll continue to deal with the potential for coastal flooding with the late high tides. High tide on Wednesday is at 10:48 PM; salt water flooding will generally be possible an hour or two on either side of high tide.

The 90s stick around for the rest of the week with quite a bit of sunshine as high pressure at the surface and aloft builds into the area. Downslope winds will mix dewpoints out into the 60s each day, so it won’t be as humid as it could be in late June. The heat index on Wednesday, in fact, should only top out a degree or two warmer than the high. Air temperatures will top out again in the mid-90s on Thursday, but a little more humidity will make it feel closer to 97-98°. By Friday, winds will go more southerly and dewpoints will stay more steady in the low 70s, which should yield heat indices around 100°. Heat will continue to accelerate heading into the weekend, with the first Heat Advisories of the season possible as we bring in July. Hydrate regularly and be sure to use sunscreen if you’re spending time outside, especially during the peak of the afternoon.

A cold front will move through and stall out nearby on Tuesday, allowing drier air to mix into the area. This will largely suppress cloud cover and will help drive temperatures to the mid-90s in the afternoon; fortunately, the drier air mixing in will also keep dewpoints reasonably in check, so heat indices will only top out around 96°-98° or so.

A few thunderstorms will still be possible very early Tuesday morning, but widespread severe weather does not look to be an issue. Still, there’s a small chance you could be woken up overnight, especially the further north you go.

The forecast for the rest of the work week will remain on the wet side especially Wednesday and Thursday before the upper low finally starts to dislodge from the blocking pattern on Friday. Until that happens, though, showers and thunderstorms will be possible at pretty much any point in the day, though the afternoons and evenings will be the favored time for storms given daytime heating. We’ll start each day in the low 70s before warming into the mid-80s before thunderstorms put a damper on temperatures. Friday does look a little less soggy with a little more in the way of scattered vs. numerous storms, and that pattern should continue to improve heading into the weekend. Stay tuned for updates as things continue to evolve.

Showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast for Tuesday and beyond as a Rex block (high pressure to the north, low pressure to the south) sets up across the area, feeding in plenty of moisture and sufficient forcing to keep things quite unsettled. Expect the day to start out in the upper 60s to around 70° before warming to about the mid-80s before storms get going. There’s the potential we could even be dealing with some showers and storms advancing through the area in the morning if some of the high-resolution guidance is correct, too, but the best chance for showers and thunderstorms will arrive in the afternoon. Bottom line: Keep the rain gear handy throughout the day, and be patient getting to where you’re going.

After a brief reprieve Tuesday, storms look to return to the forecast on Wednesday as more upper-level energy moves across the area. We start the day in the low 70s before highs top out in the upper 80s in the afternoon under a mix of sun and clouds before showers and storms become more likely heading into the evening hours.

More showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast for Tuesday afternoon and evening as a stalled front hangs around the area. First, though, we’ll start the day in fine June fashion with lows around 70° in the morning. Temperatures should head to about 90° in the afternoon before thunderstorms fire. Dewpoints in the mid-60s should yield heat indices around 92° — nothing totally out of hand for this point in the year, but certainly steamy.

The summertime feel continues into Wednesday, as temperatures look to top out in the low 90s in the afternoon before thunderstorms develop once again in the afternoon thanks to a combination of the seabreeze and a backdoor front that slowly approaches the area throughout the day. A few stronger storms are possible with gusty winds and hail, so be on the lookout if you have evening plans to celebrate getting over the hump.