A cold front will come through early Tuesday, and with it will be a shot of cooler and drier air that will make for a pleasant day across the Lowcountry. We’ll start the day in the low 60s with highs rising to the mid-70s under mostly sunny skies. Overall, a really good day to get lunch outside if you can.

We’ll see a similar weather day on Wednesday with a cooler start (40s look possible in many spots). Thursday continues to look unsettled as a potent storm system approaches the area. Rain, heavy at times, will be the main concern, though a couple stronger storms are possible as well. We keep showers around on Friday as a lumbering upper low swings through the area before gradual clearing into the weekend.

Temperatures will turn a little warmer Thursday as high pressure continues to build aloft. We’ll start the day in the low to mid-60s away from the warmer coastline and warm nicely into the low-to-mid 80s in the afternoon. Some patches of fog will be possible in the morning, so be aware of this as you commute. Thereafter, partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies will be the general rule, and no precipitation is expected once again.

Warming will continue into Friday and Saturday before a cold front moves through Saturday night and plunges us squarely into fall weather, with some of the coolest temperatures since spring coming up heading into next week. Stay tuned!

A beautiful day lies ahead with mostly sunny skies expected and comfortably warm temperatures in the low 80s. Expect a few clouds from time to time, but we should generally see more sunshine than we have the past couple days.

Our warming trend continues through the end of the work week. We still appear to be on track to at least challenge a record high or two before the week is over as highs head into the mid-to-upper 80s.

Looking for fall? It’s coming: A front will swing through sometime Saturday evening, and this will send temperatures closer to, if not slightly below, normal for mid-October starting on Sunday. Stay tuned!

Persistent low cloud cover will break up overnight, yielding a pretty nice Tuesday across the Lowcountry as high pressure continues to build in over the area. Temperatures will be seasonably, but not unreasonably, warm as we begin the day in the mid-60s to head to a high of 81° under mostly sunny skies. The north to northeast breeze could be a touch gusty at times, but no major concerns to speak of there.

A brief bout of minor coastal flooding will be possible around the 1:52 PM high tide as water levels in the harbor are forecast to touch 7′. This won’t cause widespread problems, but should still be high enough to put some salt water on Fishburne and Hagood around the Citadel and Gadsden Creek.

Rinse and repeat: More scattered showers and thunderstorms will be in the forecast as we remain within a deep plume of moisture ahead of a large upper low. We’ll sit between that low to the west and ridging to our south, with periodic disturbances rippling through instigating unsettled weather. Temperatures will remain above normal, especially in the mornings as we bottom out only around 72° away from the warmer coastline. (The normal low for early October? 62°.) Highs top out in the low 80s with plenty of cloud cover and rainfall in the area.

This pattern will begin to abate as we get into the weekend with the upper low opening up and retrograding to the north, but isolated to scattered showers will remain in our forecast well into next week.

We’ll want to keep an eye on times of high tide over the next few days, especially in the mornings, as astronomical effects combined with onshore winds will drive tides into flood stage. Salt water flooding could factor into the tail end of tomorrow morning’s commute. Some showers look to move through the area overnight, but should be out of here before tides become a problem.

Scattered storms will enter the picture in earnest for Tuesday, perhaps as early as daybreak, as surface troughing combined with an upper low will provide the necessary ingredients for periods of rain tomorrow and for the next several days. Rainfall amounts should generally be light, but a few downpours within stronger storms cannot be ruled out. Temperatures will reflect the rather soggy atmosphere in place; lows won’t crack 70° in most spots and could bottom out in the mid-to-upper 70s at downtown, while highs won’t top out too far above 80° given expected cloud cover and rainfall in the area.

No severe weather is expected, but we will want to watch for the potential for some salt water flooding around the 7:52 PM high tide as astronomical effects combine with onshore flow to raise water levels in the harbor. The 7:35 AM high tide, which is forecast to fall short of coastal flood stage, will still bear a little watching in case a downpour develops near Downtown around that time, but the flood probability in the morning is generally low.

High pressure moving into the Atlantic has pushed a coastal trough closer to the coast. Its enhanced moisture convergence has kept us a little cloudier than we might like today, with even some showers coming ashore at times throughout the day. A mix of sun and clouds looks to continue into Sunday, with a slight chance of some showers once again brushing the coast. The vast majority of us look to stay rain-free, and northeasterly winds combined with a little bit more cloud cover should keep temperatures down in the low 80s once again.

We’ll continue with dry weather on Tuesday, though dewpoints will continue to creep up and put a little more humidity into the picture. Temperatures will continue to run in the mid-80s tomorrow and for the next couple days before a weak front swings through the area later this week, knocking highs back down to around 80°. All in all, we’re good on the weather front — now we just need the seismic activity to chill.

The 3.3 magnitude earthquake many of you felt earlier this evening was centered just north of West Ashley. This was the first 3+ magnitude earthquake in the Lowcountry since 2014, and the strongest since a 3.6 quake near Sangaree in 2008. There were two other earthquakes beforehand: a 2.8 near Summerville at 12:49 PM followed by a 2.0 in the same vicinity just before 1PM. It’s impossible to know if there will be additional shocks, but these small quakes are a fact of life in the Lowcountry and happen somewhat more frequently than you might think; it’s rare to have one that is very well-felt, though. Something tells me Mother Nature just wanted something for the weather/earth science people to do given the quiet conditions. 🙂

Beautiful day ahead in the wake of a cold front which swept through last night. Cooler, drier air will filter in throughout the day, and highs should only top out around 80° as a result with low humidity and copious amounts of sunshine. Pretty fantastic.

This will begin a bit of a weather winning streak for us, with tranquil and comfortable conditions continuing well into next week. Enjoy!

We have one more warm and muggy day ahead with a scattering of showers and thunderstorms ahead of a cold front; once this front gets through tonight and into tomorrow morning, conditions will take a turn for the awesome to close out the work week and head into the weekend. For today, though, keep rain gear handy. It won’t rain all day but if it does, it could be briefly heavy. (At least we’re getting some sun this morning!)

Astronomical fall begins this afternoon at 3:21 PM — it will certainly feel a lot like this after today. Looking forward to it!