Temperatures topped out close to 80° today in the Lowcountry, and we should meet or even slightly exceed that for Thursday despite a little more cloud cover ahead of Friday’s cold front. We start the day quite mild for mid-February (mid-50s) before soaring to around 80° in the afternoon. Certainly a short-sleeve day for a majority of the day; you’ll shed that light jacket quite early on, methinks.

After reaching a lovely 70° on Valentine’s Day, we will climb even higher into the 70s for Wednesday as southerly flow on the back side of high pressure and ridging aloft turns the heat pump up. We’ll see a little more in the way of cloud cover, but still expect plenty of sunshine.

Thursday turns even warmer as a cold front gets closer and compressional heating starts to come into play a bit more. Expect highs to top out in the low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. Incredibly, this will not even be close to a record — the record high of 87°, set in 1989, looks to remain solidly intact.

Rain returns to the weather picture on Friday, though unlike the last few weeks, it won’t hang around for the weekend. Expect highs to top out early in the day around 72° before the front and its associated showers arrive in the area. Said front cools us off below normal for Saturday before a little rebound in temperatures for Sunday, but the operative thing here is that the sun will be out for both days this time — quite a rare occurrence lately.

Mother Nature’s Valentine’s Day gift to Charleston is beautiful weather as high pressure remains in control. We’ll start Tuesday in the low 40s before temperatures rebound to around 70° under mostly sunny skies. Dewpoints will run in the low-to-mid-40s, yielding comfortable relative humidity values — overall, should be a nice day to enjoy some lunch outdoors. The only fly in the ointment may be the winds shifting to the south around 10-15 MPH at times. Other than that, though, no cold shoulder this year.

We turn much warmer Wednesday into Thursday as southerly winds continue ahead of a cold front which arrives Friday. Temperatures will jump to around 80° on Wednesday and could exceed 80° on Thursday despite increasing cloud cover. While we could get within striking distance of Wednesday’s record high of 82° set in 1989, we’ll be a far cry from Thursday’s daily record which is 87°, also set in 1989.

A cold front and associated band of showers moves through the area on Friday, limiting highs to the low 70s early in the day and cooling us off pretty quickly in the evening. The good news is that this rain won’t linger — the sun will be back out on Saturday, and a rain-free (albeit much cooler) weekend is expected.

As has been true of the pattern for much of 2023 thus far, rain will have long since departed by Monday, which should end up being a rather beautiful day after starting in the upper 30s. Few, if any, clouds are expected as high pressure builds in; highs top out in the mid-60s. Another similarly beautiful, if not slightly warmer, day is on tap for Tuesday as highs approach 70° in the afternoon — really hard to ask much more for Valentine’s Day.

70s return in full force by Wednesday as high pressure moves offshore and winds go back to the south. We’ll see this accompanied by an increase in cloud cover through Thursday ahead of another cold front. Rain returns Friday, but shouldn’t be quite as much as we saw with this past weekend’s storm system, nor will it hang around as long. Cooler high pressure returns for the weekend, with highs in the mid-50s for Saturday but rebounding quickly into the the upper 60s for Sunday. At least it won’t be raining — feels like forever since we had a rain-free weekend!

A wet weekend — particularly Saturday — lies ahead as a cold front stalls to the south and a lumbering upper low moves slowly through the area.

The weather takes a turn for the unsettled starting tomorrow as a cold front approaches the area from the west. We get one more day in the 70s ahead of this front, but plenty of showers are expected within a solid moisture feed from the Gulf, with the better rain chances arriving in the afternoon. A few thunderstorms can’t be ruled out if instability can materialize particularly later in the afternoon and into the evening, and the wind fields are such that a few stronger storms are possible.

A deep trough coming along with the front will slow down and cut off into an upper low. This is going to help keep the weather quite unsettled into the weekend, particularly Saturday as low pressure develops off the coast. Temperatures will drop into the 50s on Saturday and won’t rise terribly much as the upper low pivots overhead and showers stay in the picture. We stay quite chilly on Sunday as low pressure begins to move northeast, and showers will remain likely for much of the day. Highs top out in the upper 50s.

All in all, this is a weekend best experienced indoors. At least there’s going to be a reasonably super football game on Sunday.

Thursday will be another warm day across the Lowcountry. We’ll start the day with mid-50s and some patches of fog. Heading into the afternoon, highs will top out in the mid-to-upper 70s once again despite more cloud cover than we saw on Wednesday. South winds will be a touch on the breezy side as well. We should get the day in rain-free across much of the area. There’s a small chance that a shower or two could brush the coast in the afternoon, but the bulk of the rain stays away until overnight Thursday into Friday.

We stay in the 70s for the rest of the work week ahead of a storm system that will cool us back off for the weekend. Cloud cover increases Wednesday, but that won’t stop temperatures from heading even warmer than they did Tuesday with highs expected in the mid-70s. Thursday should represent the peak of the warmth, with solid mid-70s expected across the area ahead of the storm system. Showers look to begin late Thursday and will last into Saturday morning, with the main rain event on Friday. Highs will still top out in the low 70s on Friday after starting the day in the low 60s — closer to the average high for February 10 as opposed to the average low. Once the front is through later Friday/early Saturday, temperatures will head back to a little below normal for the weekend.

No major weather concerns to write home about for Tuesday. There may be some patches of fog in the morning, but nothing too heinous or concerning (though if you do run into fog, make sure you’re using your low beams and keeping some extra following distance). Otherwise, temperatures around 40° will rise into the upper 60s to around 70° in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies, making for a nice day across the Lowcountry.

Unseasonable warmth lies ahead for a good chunk of the upcoming work week before showers, maybe some storms, and then more seasonable temperatures arrive for the weekend.